Keegan Akin, a 26 year-old left-hander, has slightly above-average stuff but his command is below average at this point. Three of his four starts have been below average. Jake Odorizzi is coming off a solid relief appearance but still has a 5.68 ERA. Only one of his six starts has been above average. The Astros have the best OPS in MLB vs. LHPs at .806. Houston is 22-11 to the over vs. LHPs. Cedric Mullins and Ryan Mountcastle can also provide offense for Baltimore.

The Astros have won seven straight games and now they head on the road to face the Orioles who have lost 10 of their last 11 games. Jake Odorizzi has been solid this season and he is coming off a scoreless outing against the Rangers. Keegan Akin allowed eight runs in 5.2 IP in his last start but he doesn’t really get deep into games. The Astros have taken over the White Sox with the highest wOBA against lefties in the league. The Astros could be resting a starter or two but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Orioles do the same. Take the Astros.

I see this number being closer to 10.5 in regards to a median projection, so I feel like I'm beating the market already here. There should be nice conditions for hitting tonight and both starters have an ERA over 5.60. Both teams are in the top eight in Major League Baseball over the last month in batting average, wOBA, and wRC+. They have combined to go 13-6-1 O/U in their last 10 games each, and I don't trust either Jake Odorizzi or Keegan Akin to limit their opponent this evening.

The Astros have won seven straight and get to face a lefty again Monday. They rank second in OPS against southpaws after chasing White Sox starter Dallas Keuchel in the third inning Sunday. The Orioles have dropped 10 of 11, giving up a whopping 77 runs in that span. Lay it.

My model says the Astros win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with them at this number. Houston has won seven in a row and 11 of its last 13 after sweeping a four-game series against the Chicago White Sox. The Astros were dominant in the set, outscoring Chicago 27-8. They now visit a Baltimore team that has lost 10 of 11 and owns the worst record in the American League (23-48). Expect the winning to continue for Houston.