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Sat, Sep 167:30 pm UTCRaymond James Stadium
88 F
Alabama
Crimson Tide
BAMA
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-1
ATS9-4
O/U9-3-1
FINAL SCORE
17
-
3
South Florida
Bulls
SFLA
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-6
ATS6-6
O/U7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
11-1
Win /Loss
6-6
9-4
Spread
6-6
9-3-1
Over / Under
7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BAMA @ SFLA
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MONEYLINE
BAMA @ SFLA
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
BAMA @ SFLA
Subscribers Only

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93%
PUBLIC
7%
MONEY
96%
PUBLIC
4%
MONEY
Over66%
PUBLIC
Under34%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderUnder 61.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

For opponents from the lesser leagues in FBS, points against Alabama are hard to come by. Middle Tennessee managed seven in this year's opener. Last season, Utah State was shut out and Louisiana-Monroe was held to seven. Double-digits is a reasonable goal for USF. Bama reportedly will switch QBs, Tyler Buchner in for Jalen Milroe. Buchner played well at times while at Notre Dame but was unable to win the starting gig. By any measure, the Tide's run of NFL-ready QBs is over. With thunderstorms forecasted, the offense with the new guy at the controls could be kept in check.

Pick Made: Sep 16, 1:02 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 61.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
Gene's Analysis:

The Under has hit the last 14 times Alabama enters a game off a loss. That totally makes sense. Coach Nick Saban cracks down on his players and gets back to basics. Last week's loss to Texas showed that this Tide offense is still a work in progress and doesn't have the game-breaking receivers of recent Alabama teams. Even better: Saban has decided to sit dual-threat quarterback Jalen Milroe in favor of pocket passer Tyler Buchner. While Milroe had trouble making reads, his legs made the Bama offense dangerous. I'm taking the Under.

Pick Made: Sep 16, 4:17 am UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderOver 60.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+324
12-8 Last 20 CFB O/U
+290
4-1 Last 5 CFB O/U
Allan's Analysis:

I cannot imagine what practice has been like for Alabama this week but I can assure you of one thing, it wasn't pleasant. Nick Saban has likely been going tin horn on everyone in Tuscaloosa and the Crimson Tide team and coordinators will then take that out on South Florida. Defense will create turnovers for the offense, the offense will punch in TD's and there is no stopping, maximum effort to the final second. The Bulls can score too so it's icing on the cake, but know that Alabama is bringing thunder Saturday.

Pick Made: Sep 13, 2:08 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Alabama Crimson Tide
Monday, Jun 15, 2026
Avatar
RB
EJ Crowell
Undisclosed
Friday, Mar 13, 2026
Avatar
TE
Danny Lewis Jr.
Foot
South Florida Bulls
Tuesday, Apr 21, 2026
Avatar
WR
Mudia Reuben
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
JeyQuan Smith
Undisclosed
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