How are the Longhorns favored in this game? They have lost back-to-back games to unranked teams, and the offense has been broken all season. The offensive line can't block, quarterback Arch Manning has little command of the offense and coach/playcaller Steve Sarkisian doesn't have any answers. And on defense, all-world pass rusher Colin Simmons is out multiple weeks with a high-ankle sprain. While Texas has quality depth behind Simmons, that's still bad news against elusive quarterback Trinidad Chambliss and an Ole Miss offense that ranks 20th in the country in scoring (37.5 points per game). I'm shocked that the early money has come in on the Longhorns. The Rebels win this with or without running back Kewan Lacy. Two units.

When I first saw this spread, I went to DraftKings to make sure this wasn't a lookahead line from last week because the wrong team is favored. The Rebels have turned things around since their debacle at Florida (which can be partly forgiven since it came after the emotional win over former coach Lane Kiffin) and are coming off a 31-3 dismantling of No. 13 Missouri. Meanwhile the Longhorns, who have lost to unranked Oklahoma and Florida in consecutive weeks, are in a freefall, and one week is not enough to correct all of the issues they have on offense (blocking, quarterback play and play calling). My main play is on the money line, but I'll gladly put two units on the spread as well.

Take A&M out of College Station, and you take the fight out of the Aggies. A&M is 0-2 on the road this season, having lost those two games by a combined score of 62-12. The team didn't score a touchdown in either game, and QB Marcel Reed completed 44.6% of his passes for 295 yards and three interceptions. On Saturday the Aggies visit Tuscaloosa to face a desperate Alabama team that cannot afford a third straight loss. The Tide rank third in the country in turnovers forced (16). I realize Bama has issues, but they're not as bad as A&M's. The Tide roll.

My main play is to take the points with the Wildcats, but I'm also sprinkling a little on the Kentucky money line. Both teams are coming off emotional upsets (Oklahoma over Texas, Kentucky over LSU), but the Wildcats already have proven they can avoid the letdown. (They won at South Carolina the week before.) Kentucky also is 2-0 on the road this season, having won at Texas A&M also. As long as the Wildcats avoid the mistakes the Longhorns made (turnovers and special teams errors), Kentucky should be in this game for 60 minutes because the Sooners don't have an offense capable of blowing out any SEC team.

The Sooners needed a lot of smoke and mirrors to upset No. 1 Texas last week. They scored two nonoffensive touchdowns (on a blocked punt and a pick six) to overcome a punchless offense. Relying on nonoffensive touchdowns is no way to live, and offensively challenged Oklahoma should not be a seven-point favorite over anyone, especially a Kentucky team that is soaring right now. The Wildcats average 34.7 points a game and have committed just five turnovers this season. They've already won at Texas A&M and at South Carolina. Two units, and I'm also sprinkling a little on the Kentucky money line.

It turns out that Florida State's 38-7 win over Virginia was more about the Cavaliers than the Seminoles. Florida State returned the following week to get blown out at Louisville. And now the Noles have to hit the road to face No. 3 Miami, which is coming off a bye week after blowing out Clemson by 28. The Hurricanes lead the country in scoring offense (49.6) and scoring defense (9.8). Miami rolls in the rain.

The Tigers have experienced a slew of injuries recently, losing defensive leader Whit Weeks, tight end Trey'Dez Green and defensive back Dashawn Spears moving forward. Even quarterback Sam Leavitt is not 100% while dealing with a hamstring injury that takes away his biggest weapon: mobility. Meanwhile first-year coach Will Stein has the Wildcats playing confidently, after rallying for an overtime win at South Carolina, the team's third straight win. Kentucky has matured since blowing a second half lead against Alabama. The Wildcats have a shot to pull off an upset in Lexington.

Things are baaaaaad in Norman. The offensive line hasn't been able to block anyone, and its best player, Michael Fasusi, is doubtful to play. Meanwhile QB John Mateer has committed six turnovers this season. (The team has committed 10 overall, sixth most in the country.) How's Oklahoma going to score against this nasty Texas defense? The Sooners may be able to keep things close for a quarter because of their defense, but as long as Arch Manning and the Longhorns avoid turnovers, they'll win going away. With OU's lack of a passing game, a backdoor cover is unlikely. Two units.

First impressions can be hard to dismiss. The Scarlet Knights are famous for having lost to UMass as big favorites in the season opener. But the Minutemen have proven to be better than expected, while Rutgers has improved steadily since that game. QB Dylan Lonergan is coming off his best effort of the season. On Saturday the Scarlet Knights get an Indiana team that has not looked remotely close to its national championship level from last season. Also, the Hoosiers will be playing their first game on the road.

These are two programs heading in opposite directions. Lobos coach Jason Eck has turned New Mexico (3-1) into a contender in the Mountain West and almost pulled off an upset at Oklahoma. The team's victory over New Mexico State (1-3) looks even better after that team blew out Western Kentucky. Meanwhile the Miners are one of the worst teams in the country, averaging just 18.8 points per game. In its three games against FBS teams, UTEP has been outscored 136-17. Lobos roll.

This is a classic letdown spot for the Gators, who are coming off a blowout win over Ole Miss last week. But behind Jadan Baugh, Florida has an efficient and explosive ground attack that works at home, on the road, against good teams and against bad teams. Given how much the Gators score (53.5 points per game), this is a small number against a Missouri team that I think is overrated.

Poor Aggies. Not only were they thoroughly outplayed at home last week by unranked Kentucky, they now have to face a Tigers team—in Death Valley, no less—that will be out for blood after losing last week against Ole Miss. LSU also will be out for revenge after being blown out by A&M last year in College Station. Aggies quarterback Marcel Reed ranks 101st in the country in passing efficiency (123.9). Tigers reauxll. Two units.

The Sooners are a mess, having lost to Michigan and barely escaping New Mexico—New Mexico!—14-6. They rank 114th in the country in total offense (329.7 yards per game). That does not bode well on Saturday, when Oklahoma has to play at No. 2 Georgia, which hasn't played anyone but still leads the country in scoring offense (59.3 points per game) and ranks sixth in total defense (211.3 yards per game). The Bulldogs stomp a mudhole on Saturday. Two units.

I realize the Longhorns beat Ohio State two weeks ago, but they do not have an elite offense. Over the last eight quarters, seven have been ugly. Arch Manning completed just 17-of-33 passes for 164 yards and often looked lost against UTSA last week. And now Texas must go into Knoxville for its first road test of the season. On defense, coordinator Will Muschamp has the Longhorns limiting opponents to 12.0 points per game. Texas will make life difficult for freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon. I expect Tennessee to run the ball as much as possible. This will be a low-scoring game. Two units.

I don't care about the Trojans' travel across the country to play this game. Nor do I care about USC's key showdown next week against Oregon. The Trojans are light years better than Rutgers, which has lost to two teams that went a combined 2-22 last season. USC has a massive talent edge. If the Trojans treat this as a business trip, this won't be close.