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Justin Perri
Justin Perri
Model Guy
Physics researcher turned sports data analyst, Justin is part of a new wave of sharp bettors who use predictive statistical modeling to find mathematical edges. His college basketball model debuted last season and returned $2,590 to $100 bettors (173-130, 57.1 percent). In the first weekend of March Madness, Justin went on an unheard-of 15-0 ATS tear. Now he has turned his attention -- and focused his algorithms -- on the 2021 baseball season. For Justin Perri media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 27 MLB ATS PICKS
+855
Record: 17-10
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Justin's Picks (2 Live)
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Colorado 3 @ Cincinnati 10 | 06/12 | 8:10 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Rockies and Reds battle in Cincinnati... Join SportsLine now to see the full pick!

+381 7-3-2 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+60 4-3-3 IN LAST 10 CIN O/U PICKS

Pittsburgh 4 @ Milwaukee 7 | 06/12 | 8:10 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Pirates play the Brewers on Saturday... Join SportsLine now to see the full pick!

+855 17-10 IN LAST 27 MLB ATS PICKS

San Diego 1 @ N.Y. Mets 4 | 06/12 | 8:10 PM UTC

UNDER 7

WIN

ANALYSIS: Joe Musgrove heads to one of the best pitching parks this year to try to slow a Mets offense that has looked much improved over the last week. He's got a bit of a park boost on his side today, as Citi Field is the second worst pure hitting park in baseball over the last three years. I expect Marcus Stroman to continue to benefit from pitching in Queens as well today. Both of these starters have low walk rates, and limiting free passes will be essential for us Saturday. With this park holding an Under record of 15-3-3 this year, I'm on the Under.

+381 7-3-2 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+95 2-1 IN LAST 3 SD O/U PICKS

Colorado 5 @ Cincinnati 11 | 06/11 | 11:10 PM UTC

Cincinnati -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Rockies are travelling after a loss to face Tyler Mahle? Yes, please! There is a reason the Reds are -235 on the money line at the moment. It's because the Rockies are bad in these scenarios and because Kyle Freeland is walking into the dangerous Great American Ball Park to play a decently hot Reds side. Freeland has been around a 5.50 xERA pitcher for the last few years, Cincinnati should knock him around Friday. Play the Reds on the run line (-1.5 -115).

+855 17-10 IN LAST 27 MLB ATS PICKS
+400 6-3 IN LAST 9 COL ATS PICKS

Baltimore 2 @ Tampa Bay 4 | 06/11 | 11:10 PM UTC

Baltimore +150

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Orioles are surprisingly the best team in MLB against left-handed pitching. They face a lefty on the mound Friday for the Rays in Ryan Yarbrough. Yarbrough has had around expected numbers this year and I think the Orioles have a chance to score some runs on him. On the other side, this should be one of the better pitching environments for Baltimore starter Keegan Akin, who also carries somewhat average numbers. Look for the lefty-dominating Baltimore lineup to do more damage than expected and cash this positive line.

+381 7-3-2 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS