Is this number off? ...

Iowa's QB is hurt. ...

Will weather affect Georgia-Alabama? ...

GameDay is at Iowa for the first time in 20 years while CBS has the game, and it's one of the Hawkeyes' biggest matchups in that time even though they have played many. Win here/super-close loss and Iowa is looking good for its first playoff. Iowa City is such a tough place to visit, and that great defense can keep Jeremiah Smith in check. Wish I had grabbed when 14.5 was briefly available as I don't see a more than two-TD home loss in the Nuts' first visit to Kinnick in nine years. That will be such a fun atmosphere and a rare time in my life I could say "wish I was in Iowa for a day." The model has OSU by 12.

Sometimes I question my place in society! I mean, what sane person sits at their computer at 11:28 a.m. ET and is saying to themselves: "Gee, I hope the Presbyterian line gets over 28." Well, rootin-tootin it did so dang it. To be clear, the Tommies will roll on the road but by more than 28? Don't think so. All the models agree with me.

So you will have to forgive me, I am a bit emotional I just saw Firehouse in concert -- it was free but major flashbacks. Yeah, you know the song (of a lifetime). I like to think I have an FCS "in" that the books don't see. Believe I do. Not so far this year, but I trust my system and RI should probably be around -240. Went and looked, no injuries I can see other than the Farrelly Brothers or Charlie Baileygates (funny bone). I can't give you model as its FCS. But, again, like to think I am tied in a bit to the FCS. #Rhody

Massively disappointed in Villanova today, so I'm aiming to get that FCS loss back. Most of the models that include FCS games have EWU by about a touchdown. First home game for the Eagles with students back. EWU leads the Big Sky with 94 first downs, averaging 23.0 per game. Head coach Aaron Best is 5-1 against Poly, with a 3-0 mark at home. Cal Poly lost its lone 2026 roadie by double digits at a pretty bad San Jose State team. The Mustangs have never won away in this series.

I actually considered a first-half play here, which is really not something I do. Just not wired to care about who is leading at halftime. But look up "Letdown Game" on Wikipedia and this should be at the top of the list. How Ole Miss is not mega-flat off the Lane Kiffin Bowl would shock me. Could be that Trinidad Chambliss -- Ferris State! -- is good enough to mask all that. But star tailback Kewan Lacy being downgraded to doubtful was the clincher for me.

FCS No. 22 Villanova, which reached the 2025 national semifinals, was the preseason favorite in the Patriot League, while No. 23 Colgate was picked seventh. This will mark their first meeting as Patriot League co-members but Villanova has taken the past two, including 24-17 last year. The hosts should have the edge at QB with graduate Pat McQuaide, who leads the PL in passing yards and was the 2025 starter. The Cats are 29-4 at home over the last five years.

In all honesty, there might not be 14 points scored today because that Nor'easter is smashing Boston apparently -- hey better you than me, I'm tired of hurricanes (non-Malachi Toney version). Needless to say, pouring rain and wind would keep scores down and in theory make it pretty tough for the Turkeys to cover this number. Might get PPD.

Want to be clear: Don't mess around when it comes to money. That said, sometimes I do throw a half-unit down because it's the only game on the slate or the like. Those 11 am ET college hoops games for an example. I wondered why the heck this game was to kick at 4 ET but our awesome Discord folks told me. And I will admit had to bet this when I found out why: AC/DC is playing in Philly this weekend so had to clear the field. That is so great -- "I'm on the highway to hell!" -- that I had to play something. Our model has Army by a point, but I probably wouldn't play this sans the hook.

Tulsa has played two low-scoring games thus far and will be without starting QB Baylor Hayes on Saturday due to injury. Seventh-year senior Dexter Williams will get the call. No doubt the Golden Hurricane look past this one anyways toward Sept. 26 at Arkansas when Hayes is expected back. None of East Texas A&M's three games have come close to topping this number and the Lions have totaled 22 points in two road games.

Everything I post I play in one form or another (usually parlays), and I will this (with the hook at least). I am playing mostly as I somewhat feel obligated, and it will be most of my afternoon. So will throw a half down. I think Lane Kiffin is the biggest clown there is. Red nose, full Bozo. But he's just gaming everyone and I kinda respect what Lane is doing. Do I like it? Not so much but he's making all about us vs. them so I get it -- I like to push the envelope a bit too. Am legit worried half the crowd has muskets (those are like car keys in Mississippi) and just fires on him but should be fun. #HottyToddy

Obviously I do this for a living so I am pretty dialed-in most times but when it comes to the FCS, there's no doubt I go looking for a bit of guidance, etc. This seems a pretty fair price. Tennessee State is maybe one of the 10 worst programs in the FCS. FAMU isn't wonderful but easily won its only home game thus far, is on extra rest and has a spectacular band. Hey, it's the FCS I'll take whatever edges I can get. TSU has been brutal offensively in the past two games, getting outscored 93-6. Third straight roadie, too.

Maybe Greg Schiano forgot how to coach, but I think he has his guys ready for this CBS Saturday game as USC leaves the West Coast for the first time for an early kick Pacific time. Also a major lookahead spot for the Trojans hosting Oregon next Saturday. USC had its issues away in 2025, that's for sure. Our model has Trojans by 19 and yeah I'm thinking somewhere around a 20-point victory. Perhaps the hook on 24 does matter. This is one you get the W, fly back home and start worrying about the Ducks.