This feels like a value ML price on an LSU club that has been exposed the past couple weeks but should still have enough to get past a short-handed Florida club that is reeling while getting whack-a-moled amid a brutal SEC schecule.

LSU has won and covered 5 straight years against Florida and they're looking to make it six in a row Saturday. Florida is 4-5 on the season and have lost three of their last four to some pretty good teams. Florida's big problem all season has been quarterback and it's still not fixed. LSU had trouble the last 2 weeks with Alabama and Texas A&M and Garrett Nussmeier threw five interceptions and only three TDs in those two games. But LSU won six straight before the two-game slide. LSU wins.

The Gators are a beat-up football team. Florida was without 11 starters and 14 total players in last week's 32-point loss against Texas, and the team's health doesn't figure to improve that significantly for Saturday. Even if quarterback DJ Lagway returns from a hamstring injury that required him to be carted off the field two weeks ago, how effective can he be as a running quarterback? LSU has had trouble stopping running quarterbacks Marcel Reed and Jalen Milroe, but at least those players had two healthy hamstrings. Meanwhile the Gators defense has given up 41.5 points per game over the last two games. Give me two units on the Tigers.

Back-to-back losses to Texas A&M and Alabama have all but ruined the Tigers; hopes for a playoff bid. Even so, they should have enough to get past an erratic Florida club that has seen injuries halt the slight spurt in momentum the Gators had. Although a run defense that has been gashed is a concern, look for the Tigers to take advantage of a Florida team that has been worn down by a murderous schedule.