ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks didn’t get a chance to line up their starting rotation for the playoffs because it took them so long to secure a Wild Card spot. That means Brandon Pfaadt will have to take the hill for Game 1. He has been awful, posting a 5.72 ERA and allowing 2.1 HR/9. The Brewers will roll with Corbin Burnes, who had a 3.39 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP this season. Combine the lopsided starting pitching matchup with the Diamondbacks only having a .706 OPS on the road this season and I’m on the Brewers to win.

ANALYSIS: We’ve reached the playoffs, so there are going to be a lot of very good starting pitching matchups. That is the case for this game, with Tyler Glasnow facing off against Jordan Montgomery. However, one of the reasons I like the Rays to take Game 1 is that they had a 3.83 bullpen ERA this season, while the Rangers had a 4.77 bullpen ERA. Another reason is that the Rays were 53-28 at home, while the Rangers were a mediocre 40-41 on the road.

ANALYSIS: Derrick Henry couldn’t get anything going against the Browns last week, rushing 11 times for 20 yards. He has had a down season, in general, but he did have 25 carries for 80 yards in Week 2 against the Chargers. With Treylon Burks (knee) out for this matchup, expect the Titans to rely heavily on their star running back. That could lead to a juicy stat line against a Bengals team that has allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game in the league.

ANALYSIS: The Colts want to run the ball. Zack Moss missed Week 1 with an injury, but he has taken over as their lead running back since making his return. After posting 18 carries against the Texans in Week 2, he rushed 30 times against the Ravens in Week 3. With little talent behind him at the position, expect Moss to receive a heavy workload again.

ANALYSIS: Nico Collins was only targeted three times in Week 3, which he turned into two catches for 34 yards. Prior to that, he had 80 receiving yards in Week 1 and 146 in Week 2. In those games, he received 11 and nine targets, respectively. C.J. Stroud has looked great through three games, so with the expectation that Collins receives a heavier workload against the Steelers, I’m on the over.