

Mike Barner
NBA Guru
Mike is a nationally-acclaimed NBA Fantasy expert, both season-long and DFS, who uses in-depth knowledge of every roster to find betting advantages. He is coming off a pair of dominant NBA seasons in which he went 407-314 on prop bets, returning $3,628 to $100 bettors. Twice recently, Mike was nominated for Basketball Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Mike's work has appeared in Sports Illustrated as well as on Yahoo and RotoWire. Mike appears regularly on "Early Edge," SportsLine's popular daily betting show, as well as CBS Sports HQ. For Mike Barner media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Mike's Picks
1 Live PicksTy Jerome might not be a big name, but he is the best scorer on the Grizzlies...
Walker Kessler is going to benefit greatly from playing with Luka Doncic, who is one of the best passers in the league. In the duo’s first two games together, Kessler shot a combined 22-for-26 from the field. He scored 26 points against the Warriors, then followed it up with 22 points versus the Clippers. The Jazz are playing small with Jusuf Nurkic (foot) out, so Kessler has the potential to provide another efficient stat line.
This is the first game of a back-to-back set for the 76ers. LeBron James (back) is listed as questionable, so don’t be surprised if he gets the night off. It seems likely that either he or Joel Embiid will sit out one of these games for rest. Considering the 76ers play a very good Pistons team on Sunday, it makes sense for them to rest one of their stars against the rebuilding Bucks. Tyrese Maxey scored 28 and 32 points in his first two games, so with the potential for even more scoring opportunities in this matchup, the over is the way to go.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. started and played at least 31 minutes in his first two games of the season. He combined for 29 points and rebounds in his season debut against the Wizards, then followed it up with 30 combined points and rebounds against the Bulls on Friday. As a member of the Heat last season, he averaged 15.4 points and 5.0 rebounds in 28 minutes a game. The 76ers aren’t an easy matchup, but with 30+ minutes likely coming his way, Jaquez can still hit this over.
Lauri Markkanen only scored 18 points on 4-for-13 shooting from the field in his season opener against the Grizzlies. That included him going 1-for-7 from behind the arc. He’s normally an efficient scorer, shooting 47.7% from the field and 35.5% from deep last season. At home last season, he averaged 28.1 points and shot 38.6% on his three-point attempts. He should still be one of the leaders in usage rate for the Jazz, giving him a great opportunity to emerge from this matchup with at least 22 points. It wouldn’t be a surprise if he scores 25+ points.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. started and played 31 minutes in Milwaukee’s season opener against the Wizards. He shot 8-for-12 from the field on his way to scoring 22 points. He was also efficient last season, shooting 50.7% from the field. The Bulls were one of the worst defensive teams in the league last season and were torched for 135 points by the Raptors in their first game of this season. With the expectation that Jaquez plays around 30 minutes again, this over is appealing.
Jalen Smith will continue to start at center for the Bulls with Nic Claxton (hamstring) out. Last season, he averaged 10.2 points and 6.7 rebounds in just 21 minutes per game. With the Bulls getting blown out 135-92 by the Raptors in their first game, Smith only played 19 minutes. Still, he finished with 15 points and eight rebounds. He should play more in what should be a closer game against the Bucks, who just gave up 34 points and 12 rebounds to big man Anthony Davis in their season opener. Smith can thrive in this matchup.
Jaylen Brown isn’t going to have the same usage rate with the 76ers that he had as a member of the Celtics last season. He only attempted 14 shots in the season opener against the Knicks with so many talented players around him in the starting lineup. While his new teammates might not help his scoring average, they can help him rack up assists. Brown is a good passer, averaging 4.5 and 5.1 assists with the Celtics the last two seasons. In his 76ers debut, he racked up six dimes. He averaged 7.7 assists in three games versus the Cavaliers last season, so I’ll pay the juice and take this over.
Behind Philadelphia’s star-studded starting five is a second unit that doesn’t provide a ton of scoring punch. That makes them heavily reliant on Anfernee Simons, who is by far their most potent scorer off the bench. He played 25 minutes in the season opener against the Knicks, shooting 3-for-8 from behind the arc on his way to scoring 13 points. For his career, he shoots 38.1% from deep. In two meetings against the Cavaliers last season while playing for the Celtics, Simons scored 14 and 18 points in a bench role. I like his chances of hitting this over.
Darryn Peterson will step right into the starting lineup for the Jazz. He has plenty of great scoring options around him, including Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Jaren Jackson Jr. In each of his final three preseason games, Peterson dished out at least three assists. In his last two, he logged five and six assists. With the expectation that he plays around 30 minutes for a team that likes to push the pace, I’ll happily pay the juice and take this over.
Ty Jerome averaged 19.7 points in the 15 games that he played last season. What’s so impressive about that is that he only logged 23 minutes a game. He didn’t play more than 24 minutes in any preseason game, but still scored at least 16 points four times. Now the starting point guard for the Grizzlies, he should see an uptick in playing time. That puts him in a favorable position to score at least 20 points against a Jazz team that played at the second-fastest pace in the league last season.
Julius Randle averaged 21.1 points per game last season while playing second fiddle to Anthony Edwards on the Timberwolves. Michael Porter Jr. was great for the Nets last year, but he’s not in the same stratosphere as Edwards. I expect Randle to fill a similar role that he did when he played for the Knicks. In three of his last four seasons with the franchise, he averaged at least 24.1 points. Combine a likely hefty usage rate with a matchup against a Hornets team that doesn’t have much rim protection and this is a great spot for Randle to score at least 20 points.
Tyler Herro has averaged at least 20.1 points per game in each of the last five seasons. He now finds himself on a rebuilding Bucks team that is lacking offensive firepower. The second-best scorer on the team behind Herro is probably Ryan Rollins, who averaged 17.3 points per game last season. Fellow starters Kyle Kuzma and Myles Turner aren’t scoring much anymore, and the team’s second unit is also filled with question marks. It would not be a surprise to see Herro approach 20 shot attempts in this game, making the over the way to go for a player who shoots 38.2% from behind the arc for his career.
With Jaylen Brown having been traded during the offseason, Jayson Tatum is now the undisputed top option for the Celtics. He should have the ball in his hands a lot, considering that neither Payton Pritchard nor Derrick White are traditional point guards. Two seasons ago, Tatum averaged 6.0 assists over 36 minutes per game. Over 13 games in which Tatum played at least 30 minutes last season, he averaged 5.7 assists. He has good shooters around him and a new lob threat in Mitchell Robinson, so look for him to begin the season with at least six assists.
The Pistons lost Tobias Harris to the Spurs during the offseason. He was an important part of their offense, averaging 13.3 points per game. Replacing him is John Collins, who should be one of the top scoring options on the team alongside Cade Cunningham and Jalen Duren. Despite only playing 27 minutes per game with the Clippers last season, he averaged 13.6 points. He is an efficient scorer, shooting at least 50.8% from the field in every season of his career and at least 37.1% from three in each of the last three seasons. With the potential for him to play around 30 minutes, he is in a favorable spot to emerge from his Pistons debut with at least 12 points.













