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Thu, Jan 0112:30 am UTCAT&T Stadium
Miami (Fla.)
Hurricanes
MIAMI
Last 5 ATS
W/L12-3
ATS11-5
O/U7-9-0
FINAL SCORE
24
-
14
Ohio State
Buckeyes
OHIOST
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-2
ATS10-4
O/U4-10-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
12-3
Win /Loss
11-2
11-5
Spread
10-4
7-9-0
Over / Under
4-10-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIAMI @ OHIOST
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MONEYLINE
MIAMI @ OHIOST
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OVER / UNDER
MIAMI @ OHIOST
Subscribers Only

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58%
PUBLIC
42%
MONEY
12%
PUBLIC
88%
MONEY
Over68%
PUBLIC
Under32%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadOhio State -7.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+243
10-7 in Last 17 OHIOST ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

This line has come down significantly, and now that it's under 8 points, we've reached a buy on the Buckeyes. While Miami will present a significant test for Ohio State -- first-round winners went undefeated last year, and OSU hasn't played in 25 days -- the No. 2 seed is a tremendous defensive team. That's a scary proposition for Carson Beck, who is tough to trust against mediocre defenses. OSU is allowing 8 points per game this season and gave up 19 per game in last year's playoff. Either is good enough to get the job done Wednesday night.

Pick Made: Jan 01, 12:11 am UTC on bet365
SpreadOhio State -7.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+622
25-20 in Last 45 NCAAF Picks
+438
15-12 in Last 27 NCAAF ATS Picks
Gene's Analysis:

Now that this line is Ohio State -7.5 (-110), I have to take a shot. The Buckeyes are giving up just 8.2 points per game this season, which is tied with the 2011 Alabama defense for the best since at least 1995. I love the matchup of Ohio State defensive coordinator Matt Patricia against mistake-prone Miami quarterback Carson Beck. Meanwhile, I trust that Buckeyes coach Ryan Day has addressed the offense's pass protection issues over the team's extended break since the Big Ten Championship Game. I don't expect Ohio State will need to score a ton of points to cover.

Pick Made: Dec 31, 11:52 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over/UnderUnder 40.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+528
61-50-4 in Last 115 NCAAF Picks
+455
10-5-1 in Last 16 NCAAF O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We might have seen a sneak preview of tonight's scoreline in the most-recent games involving these sides featuring top-ten defenses. Ohio State's nation's-best stop unit looks especially airtight, and it will take a much-smoother performance from Carson Beck and the Miami offense than we saw int he first round vs. Texas A&M to envision the Canes doing much damage tonight. On the other hand, Miami's stop unit, another top ten scoring defense, completely flustered Texas A&M's Marcel Reed with its speed in the first round, and did not like the reaction of Ohio State's frosh QB Julian Sayin in the Big Ten title game vs. Indiana when things weren't going so swimmingly. Play Miami-Ohio State Under

Pick Made: Dec 31, 10:32 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadMiami (Fla.) +9.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+643
12-5 in Last 17 NCAAF ATS Picks
+479
7-2 in Last 9 MIAMI ATS Picks
Tom's Analysis:

Ohio State has faced two great defensive fronts this season, and struggled against both. Miami's defensive line is one of the best in the country and should slow the Buckeyes offense down enough to keep the Hurricanes in this one.

Pick Made: Dec 30, 11:23 pm UTC on FanDuel
SpreadOhio State -9 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+189
9-8 in Last 17 NCAAF Picks
+70
4-3 in Last 7 OHIOST ATS Picks
Eric's Analysis:

I was at the 2003 National Championship Game between these two schools and the amount of talent on that field was ridiculous. But I digress -- both teams are coming off lackluster offensive performances in their last games, scoring only 10 points each. Don’t expect the Miami offense to find better footing in this contest. The Buckeyes have allowed 16 or fewer points in every game and I have a hard time seeing the Hurricanes exceeding that mark in the Cotton Bowl. Look for Ryan Day to open up the playbook and for OSU to cruise to at least a two-score victory.

Pick Made: Dec 29, 6:12 pm UTC on bet365

Team Injuries

Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes
Tuesday, Jan 20, 2026
Avatar
WR
Daylyn Upshaw
Foot
Ohio State Buckeyes
Friday, Jan 30, 2026
Avatar
RB
Bo Jackson
Shoulder
Avatar
RB
Isaiah West
Shoulder
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