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    Fri, Dec 2312:30 am UTCAmon G. Carter Stadium
    18 F
    Baylor
    Bears
    BAYLOR
    Last 1 ATS
    W/L0-1
    ATS0-1
    O/U0-1-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Air Force
    Falcons
    AF
    Last 1 ATS
    W/L1-0
    ATS1-0
    O/U0-1-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 1 ATS
    0-1
    Win /Loss
    1-0
    0-1
    Spread
    1-0
    0-1-0
    Over / Under
    0-1-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    QB
    Avatar
    S
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    RB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadAir Force +3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +608
    25-17 in Last 42 CFB ATS Picks
    +600
    6-0 in Last 6 AF ATS Picks
    +167
    9-6 in Last 15 AF Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Armed Forces Bowl. As expected, we've seen some weird bowl results thus far. Do I think Baylor has way more talent here? No question. The Bears also are playing only 90 miles from campus in Fort Worth (at TCU), but I doubt there's much of a home-field advantage for this lower-tier bowl. Baylor lost its final three to close the regular season, lost a starting offensive lineman and safety to the portal and fired its defensive coordinator and special teams coach. Air Force will feel comfortable in Fort Worth as it's the fourth game since the start of last season in the Dallas area for the school. It's going to be cold and windy tonight and that means a lot of running plays. Air Force (which rarely passes) leads the nation in rushing offense and is Top 10 in rushing defense. Service academies tend to thrive in bowl games because they are so disciplined (see news feed).

    Pick Made: Dec 22, 2:35 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAir Force +3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +755
    24-15-2 in Last 41 CFB Picks
    +295
    15-11-2 in Last 28 CFB ATS Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 AF Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 AF ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Match these teams in midseason, and Baylor might be favored by nearly double-digits. In December, with temperatures projected in the teens, motivation matters. Hence, the small line. Air Force strives for its 10th win against a rare Power Five opponent, while the more talented Bears mop up a disappointing year with two new coordinators replacing a fired pair and at least two new starters replacing the transfer portaled. Under veteran coach Troy Calhoun, the academy is 7-4 ATS in bowls, 6-5 straight-up. The cold should accommodate the Falcons' top-ranked ground game, with RB Brian Roberts (No. 3 in FBS) as leading man.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 5:28 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAir Force +4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +570
    10-4 in Last 14 CFB Picks
    +570
    10-4 in Last 14 CFB ATS Picks
    Jeff's Analysis:

    The Falcons own the better offensive line (No. 5 vs. No. 44), defensive line (No. 20 vs. No. 100) and special teams (No. 57 vs. No. 115) at Football Outsiders. It's going to be windy (20-30 MPH) and this benefits the Falcons' run-heavy attack. Air Force owns the No. 1 defense in yards allowed and No. 2 defense in points allowed. Take the Falcons plus the points.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 7:36 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Baylor Bears
    Sunday, Sep 24, 2023
    Avatar
    QB
    Blake Shapen
    Knee
    Sunday, Sep 03, 2023
    Avatar
    S
    Devin Lemear
    Elbow
    Air Force Falcons
    Saturday, Sep 23, 2023
    Avatar
    RB
    Owen Burk
    Undisclosed

    Season Splits

    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    54%
    6-5
    5-6
    46%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    50%
    3-3
    2-3
    40%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or PK
    40%
    2-3
    0-0
    0%
    When Spread was -5.5 to -1.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was +1.5 to +5.5
    0%
    0-3
    0-0
    0%
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Road Underdog
    0%
    0-1
    0-0
    0%
    vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
    50%
    2-2
    2-3
    40%
    vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
    25%
    1-3
    2-2
    50%
    After >8 Days Off
    REST
    After >8 Days Off
    54%
    6-5
    5-6
    46%
    vs AF
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs BAYLOR
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%