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    Thu, Dec 222:00 am UTCCaesars Superdome
    Western Kentucky
    Hilltoppers
    WKY
    Last 1 ATS
    W/L1-0
    ATS1-0
    O/U0-1-0
    CURRENT SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    South Alabama
    Jaguars
    SALA
    Last 1 ATS
    W/L0-1
    ATS0-1
    O/U0-1-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 1 ATS
    1-0
    Win /Loss
    0-1
    1-0
    Spread
    0-1
    0-1-0
    Over / Under
    0-1-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    RB
    Avatar
    WR
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    RB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadW. Kentucky +4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +765
    35-25-1 in Last 61 CFB ATS Picks
    +630
    35-26-1 in Last 62 CFB Picks
    +480
    7-2 in Last 9 WKY Picks
    +380
    6-2 in Last 8 WKY ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    South Alabama's 10-2 record masks the issues that were evident as it pulled out several close wins. With nearly a month off since they last played, look for the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to expose the Jaguars and deliver a strong performance.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 10:25 pm UTC
    Point SpreadSouth Alabama -3.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +370
    18-13 in Last 31 CFB ATS Picks
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 CFB Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Sun Belt has won five straight against Conference USA in the New Orleans Bowl, and I think we’ll see the streak extended tonight. Perhaps best of all, this number has dropped from an opener of South Alabama -9 to -3.5. Western Kentucky's second-ranked passing game (339 YPG) faces South Alabama’s 12th-ranked defense, which has shut down almost everyone. USA went 10-2, with a 10-6 loss to Troy and a 32-31 loss at UCLA. WKU was an underdog three times this season and lost all three. The Hilltoppers have five losses, and their top receiver, second-leading tackler, two offensive linemen and two defensive backs have hit the portal or declared for draft. USA has five straight wins and is expected to be at full strength. I’m on South Alabama to cover.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 6:51 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOVER 57 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +755
    24-15-2 in Last 41 CFB Picks
    +640
    13-6 in Last 19 CFB O/U Picks
    +680
    9-2 in Last 11 WKY Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 WKY O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    An indoors game plus Austin Reed equals an Over. The Western Kentucky QB, No. 2 in FBS for passing yards, reversed himself after entering the transfer portal, which suggests he will be as motivated as any player in a non-CFP bowl. Only one of the Hilltoppers' 13 regular season games wound up with fewer than 50 points as WKU earned a No. 9 ranking on offense. South Alabama has had its share of heavy-scoring games, too, so the bar is hardly high for these teams to scale.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 4:35 am UTC
    Money LineSouth Alabama -190
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +10
    2-1 in Last 3 CFB ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    New Orleans Bowl. When I did my Bowl Confidence picks here at SL, I had South Alabama very high because WKU star quarterback Austin Reed entered the transfer portal. Well, he changed his mind and will stay and play here. So while I'm not as confident now, I still think South Alabama finishes off by far the best FBS season in school history in style. The Jaguars were quite good against the pass during the year, and WKU is still short-handed with two starting offensive linemen, two top tight ends, second-leading receiver and a starting defensive back all either having transferred or opted out for the draft. Bowls are old sombrero (is that a saying?) for WKU, but USA hasn't played in one since 2016 and has never won a bowl game. Motivation will not be a problem.

    Pick Made: Dec 20, 9:25 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
    Monday, Sep 25, 2023
    Avatar
    WR
    Michael Mathison
    Hip
    Sunday, Sep 24, 2023
    Avatar
    WR
    Blue Smith
    Undisclosed
    Avatar
    RB
    Markese Stepp
    Undisclosed
    Avatar
    WR
    Moussa Barry
    Undisclosed
    Sunday, Sep 17, 2023
    Avatar
    TE
    Trevor Borland
    Arm
    Sunday, Sep 10, 2023
    Avatar
    WR
    Dalvin Smith
    Foot
    South Alabama Jaguars
    Saturday, Sep 16, 2023
    Avatar
    WR
    Devin Voisin
    Knee
    Saturday, Sep 09, 2023
    Avatar
    RB
    Braylon McReynolds
    Undisclosed

    Season Splits

    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    67%
    8-4
    6-5
    54%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    71%
    5-2
    4-2
    67%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    67%
    2-1
    4-5
    44%
    When Spread was +2.5 to +6.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -6.5 to -2.5
    50%
    1-1
    1-1
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    67%
    2-1
    2-2
    50%
    vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
    100%
    1-0
    1-1
    50%
    vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
    67%
    2-1
    1-1
    50%
    After >8 Days Off
    REST
    After >8 Days Off
    67%
    8-4
    6-5
    54%
    vs SALA
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs WKY
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%