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This should be a tremendous showdown of a couple undefeated Big 12 programs that will be asked to help lead the conference in a few years. TCU is riding high after its win over previously unbeaten Kansas last week in a featured spot, and it might be getting juiced a bit too much after that victory. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, has been no slouch of its own this season and just covered as an underdog two weeks ago when it beat Baylor on the road by 11. Sonny Dykes is already proving to be a tremendous hire for TCU, but let's not forget how much experience Mike Gundy has coaching in games like this. The Pokes have a deeper roster and more talent in the trenches. Getting this many points on the road gives us numerous avenues to victory, even if Oklahoma State falls a bit short on the road.
TCU has faced a gauntlet of tough matchups and covered the spread in each one. It is one of two teams in FBS that has covered in every game. Now the Horned Frogs face an Oklahoma State team that throttled them 63-17 last season. The Cowboys' success running the ball in that contest is something they can carry over on the road Saturday. Take the Cowboys plus the points.
TCU is ranked third in the country in scoring offense (46.4 points per game). Oklahoma State is ranked fourth (45.2). Both teams rank outside the top 50 in scoring defense and gave up 31 points to lesser foes last week. Saturday's game shapes up to be a scoring fest between two undefeated teams that know the importance of style points. Give me the Over.
Money is coming in on TCU based on last year's blowout loss to the Cowboys. I don't think anything has changed. Oklahoma State should pile up yards on the ground. TCU is ranked No. 71 in defensive line DVOA, while the Cowboys are ranked No. 4 this season. The Cowboys are ranked 18 spots higher in overall defense and we will gladly take four points in this spot.
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