For three straight games, SMU has vastly under produced in losses to Maryland, TCU, and Central Florida. Now the Mustangs have an opportunity to utilize extra rest over Navy as SMU played last Wednesday. At home, I expect the Mustangs to continue their surge of points against Navy, as they scored 31 in last year’s contest and 51 two seasons ago. Grab the Mustangs to pull through on the double-digit spread.

This is a matchup in which neither team is well-equipped to stop the other. Navy does not have the defense that can matchup with SMU's passing attack, and nothing SMU has shown this year makes it seem capable of stopping a Navy rushing attack that's come to life in recent weeks. I'm thinking we've got a tennis match on our hands.

Navy has gotten its act together on both sides of the ball and has won two of its last three and covered all three. They are running the ball with authority and they might be able to do to SMU what they did to Tulsa, who they beat last week 53-21 with 455 yards on the ground. SMU's rating slid after losing its last three and failing to cover its last four. The spread is still too high. I took the points with Navy, who just might win the game outright.