Bahamas Bowl -- I don't have a great feel for the spread here; at -9.5 I'd have backed Toledo but at -10.5 I don't love it. So let's hit the total. It has dropped from an open of 53 because it will be a bit breezy in Nassau. But if you've ever been to Nassau, it's always breezy. I don't think it's really going to matter much. Toledo led the MAC in scoring offense at 34.2 ppg so if the Rockets can at least get there, I certainly think MT can score at least 17 points to go Over this number.

The total plummeted as reports of gusts as high as into mid-teens have circulated. Yet the forecast on Thursday night was showing winds at miles per hour in the high single digits, which should not inhibit passes and placekickers. Toledo piled up 49 points in three of its last four games, with 35 in the other, and registered 29 early this season against Notre Dame. RB Bryant Roback averaged 153 yards in the three latest, with eight total TDs. MTSU’s defense creates points, its 31 turnovers leading FBS.