The Hawkeyes seemed to be forgotten after their 6-0 start dissolved into consecutive losses to Purdue and Wisconsin by 17 points each. However, they finished strong to reach the Big Ten title game and this is still a solid club despites limitations on offense. Unlike Ohio State a week ago, Iowa won't be consistently gashed at the line of scrimmage by the Wolverines, who could be in a letdown spot. These clubs both give up just 17 points per game, bolstering the value of nearly two touchdowns in our pockets before kickoff.

Erase the images in your memory of late-season Big Ten games unfolding in cold or inclement weather. The Big Ten finals setting is a dome, and the offenses should benefit. Michigan erupted for 59 and 42 points in its past two outings and had a midseason stretch of four straight in the 30s. The latest three Iowa games resulted in 49, 56 and 49 points. Both defenses are rugged, but Michigan’s rolling offense should secure an Over.

Iowa would have a better shot against Ohio State than Michigan. Matchup wise, Iowa's advantage lies in forcing turnovers and trying to out-physical opponents. Unfortunately for the Hawkeyes, their strengths all line up with Michigan's strengths, only Michigan is better and more talented. The Hawkeyes thrive off turnovers, and Michigan doesn't turn the ball over. Iowa isn't going to be able to win this one with defense and special teams, and while they might keep it close for a half, the Wolverines will pull away as the game goes on.

Since losing to Michigan State, Michigan has won and covered four straight. Now, coach Jim Harbaugh finally gets a chance to bust through nationally as promised when he was hired. Iowa who has No. 123-ranked offense in the nation, averaging fewer than 300 yards per game. There will be no letdown for the Wolverines after their upset of Ohio State. Take Michigan to cover.

Michigan is the best team in the Big Ten this season and the Wolverines proved it on Saturday against Ohio State. Iowa managed to navigate the Big Ten West to get to this game, but would be no better than the fifth best team in the East. Penn State was getting ready to light them up before Sean Clifford's injury. This could get ugly early.

This number is a huge overreaction by the oddsmakers to Michigan's upset of Ohio State on Saturday, a result I will admit I didn't see coming. I realize this is the Big Ten Championship Game and a playoff spot is on the line for Jim Harbaugh's team, but there is going to be some sort of letdown after finally cracking the Nuts. Iowa is great defensively and could win this outright. Lose by more than 10 points at a neutral site? Highly doubtful.