It's not exactly breaking news that Air Force is good at running the ball. Colorado State just allowed 385 yards rushing last week in a loss at Wyoming. Offensively, CSU is near the bottom of the Mountain West at 23.1 ppg and Air Force is among the national leaders in allowing 17.2 ppg. I may come back and play the Under here too. The SportsLine Projection Model has AFA winning by a point. To take that out of the equation, we'll back the Falcons on the moneyline.

No one wants to face the option, especially one like Air Force's that has the ability to throw the ball with efficiency. This game will require the Rams to play with consistent discipline, which I don't foresee. I expect Air Force to make this a track meet, putting this one away midway through the fourth quarter.