Ole Miss will be on the road for just the second time this season. The Rebels survived a back-and-forth, action-packed game last Saturday against Arkansas. As great as Hendon Hooker has been for the Vols, I think Ole Miss’s offense under Matt Corral will be too much for Tennessee. Take the Rebels.

This is a principle play. You'll never find me betting an Over in a game where the total is in the eighties. Don't get me wrong, these offenses are explosive, but both teams run the same basic offense. That means both teams know the weaknesses of the offenses they're facing. This won't be a defensive struggle, but a 41-38 game still finishes Under.

The total opened at a skyscraper-high 78 and proceeded to rise five points. Understandable, given the Rebels’ TD-packed games since Lane Kiffin became coach and the Volunteers’ unexpected 107 points tallied the past two weeks. Power Five football games hardly ever reach this rarified air for scoring. These are still members of the traditionally rugged SEC, and the defenses would have to perform disappearing acts for this total to be hit.

Wish I would have gotten this when it opened at 85 -- sorry, but I'm never taking an Over on a total in the 80s. If you go by each team's points per drive this year, each would need about 14.5 possessions for this total to go Over. Tennessee is averaging around 11.7 drives per game in SEC play and Ole Miss 12. As a fan, I hope this is 58-54 but more likely something like 37-35.

It's funny to see the Over/Under set at 82 for this game. Judging by both of these offenses, you can understand it. However, I think the enormous offensive outbreaks we saw last week from both are more of a result of a wacky Saturday. Yes, both teams can score, but I expect that to be curtailed a bit in this game. I expect the Rebels, who've played this way all season, to edge out Tennessee and cover this number.

This is strictly a numbers play because 82 is just an absurd total. Don't get me wrong, both teams can reach this collectively, but out of principle I have to take the Under here. Yes, both teams run lightning-fast tempo on offense, but each of their defenses practice against it every day too. Tennessee has a better defense than it gets credit for, only allowing 21.5 PPG. Now, Ole Miss will score more than that, but really we only need a few drives to eat clock and we're home free. Not to mention, Vols QB Hendon Hooker likes to run it a bit too. To get down to it, if the bet loses it loses, but I'm willing to take the chance in this spot.