There's been a trend I've been following this season amongst teams who didn't start the 2020 season "on time." So far there have been 29 games between teams playing their first games of the season later than usual, and the Under has gone 18-11 in those games. I think that's a trend that could continue here, as this total is too high. I expect Ohio State to build an early lead and then cruise to the finish line.

The Buckeyes have big goals for the season, and I think they're anxious to get into the national championship chase. Remember, with fewer games to make an impression on the College Football Playoff committee, Ohio State needs to make a statement every week. My model says the Buckeyes cover well over 50 percent of the time, so you're getting value with Ohio State at this number.

I feel like the Buckeyes have practiced throughout the pandemic and will hit the ground running a lot better than their Big Ten counterparts. QB Justin Fields will be out to remind folks that he has a legitimate argument for being the best QB in the country. He was a Heisman finalist last year and will have enough solid weapons around him to get back to New York City later this year. Take Ohio State.