ANALYSIS: Good underdog value on the Avalanche at +110 on Wednesday in Toronto as 57 percent of my model simulations have Colorado winning outright -- an average score of 3.2-2.8. Avs star Nathan MacKinnon is set to return from injury as well.

ANALYSIS: A Black Friday matinee between Original Six rivals from Boston. The Rangers have won six of their past seven games, and 67 percent of my model simulations have the Blueshirts covering +1.5 on the puckline (-175).

ANALYSIS: My model says the Hawks cover in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with them at this number. Atlanta is concluding a five-game homestand during which it won the first four contests after losing six straight overall. Three of those victories came against Milwaukee, Boston and Charlotte. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City lost the first two contests of its three-game road trip and is just 2-6 away from home this season. Expect the Hawks to cruise to their fifth straight win.

ANALYSIS: The Oklahoma City Thunder will not be favored often this season, but my model likes the Thunder against an even worse Rockets team on Wednesday with OKC covering the spread fairly easily in 66 percent of simulations. The Thunder have covered five straight vs. teams with a losing record.

ANALYSIS: My model says the Clippers cover in well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Los Angeles is looking to begin another winning streak after having its seven-game run snapped by Chicago on Sunday. Paul George is among the top scorers in the NBA with an average of 26.5 points per game and is coming off his fifth double-double of the season as he had 27 points and 11 rebounds against the Bulls. The Spurs are just 1-7 against Western Conference rivals and have allowed at least 114 in three straight contests. Take the Clippers.