ANALYSIS: My model thinks this total is about 10 points too low with more than 67 percent of simulations finishing Over the current number of 221. Detroit is in the bottom third of the NBA in scoring defense, and Trae Young and the Hawks can hang 130 on anyone. When these teams played Dec. 28 also in Atlanta, there were 248 points scored.

ANALYSIS: My model says the Avalanche win in almost 80 percent of simulations, so you're getting excellent value at this number. After scoring just once in its season opener, Colorado erupted for eight goals en route to a shutout victory over St. Louis on Friday. The Kings, meanwhile, have begun the campaign by dropping back-to-back 4-3 overtime decisions at home to Minnesota. Take the Avalanche.

ANALYSIS: My model says the Thunder cover in well over 60 percent of simulations, so you're getting strong value at this number. Oklahoma City is kicking off a five-game road trip after edging Chicago in overtime at home on Friday. The Thunder went 4-1 on a five-game trek at the beginning of the month, winning four of the contests by double digits. The Nuggets are just 3-5 at home and have lost two of the last three. Take the Thunder.

ANALYSIS: My model says the Explorers cover almost 70 percent of the time, so you're getting extremely strong value at this number. Saint Joseph's has lost nine of its first 10 contests, with six of the setbacks being by double digits. A meeting with the Hawks is just what La Salle needs as it looks to halt a three-game slide after having won five of seven. Take the Explorers.

ANALYSIS: My model says the Hawks cover almost 70 percent of the time, so you're getting excellent value at this number. The Timberwolves have lost eight of their last nine contests and have been idle since Wednesday. In addition, Karl-Anthony Towns will be unavailable after testing positive for COVID-19 late last week. Atlanta's last home game was an 18-point victory over Philadelphia. Expect another comfortable triumph.