ANALYSIS: First game of Wednesday afternoon, and 53 percent of model simulations like the Tigers to win outright as +135 dogs -- terrific value. The pitching matchup appears to favor Detroit behind Wily Peralta (3-2, 2.56 ERA) vs. Minnesota's struggling JA Happ (5-5, 6.14).

ANALYSIS: My model says the Cardinals win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with them at this number. St. Louis RHP Adam Wainwright struggled in his first start after the All-Star break but bounced back by limiting the Chicago Cubs to one run over seven innings last Wednesday. The veteran won both of his previous career turns against Cleveland, tossing a complete game last season while yielding two runs in seven frames on June 9. Expect another strong effort from Wainwright and take the Cardinals.

ANALYSIS: My model says the White Sox win in well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Kansas City is riding a season high-tying five-game winning streak after sweeping a three-game home series against Detroit. But the bubble has to burst soon as the team is 13 games under .500 and hosting a division leader. Royals LHP Mike Minor has allowed at least four runs in four of his last five starts and is 1-3 lifetime against Chicago. Meanwhile, White Sox LHP Dallas Keuchel is 6-1 versus Kansas City. Take Chicago.

ANALYSIS: Should be an edge for the pitchers with the shadows and the quick turnaround for this getaway Wednesday game. Mets starter Marcus Stroman has a 2.79 ERA on the season and has not allowed more than three earned runs in an outing since mid-May. Around 65 percent of my model simulations land Under this big total of 10.5 runs.

ANALYSIS: My model says the Dodgers win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Los Angeles has had the upper hand against the Giants this year, winning six of the nine contests. San Francisco was held to one run in each of its back-to-back losses at St. Louis over the weekend and scored a total of three times in a pair of defeats at Los Angeles late last month. Expect the Dodgers to maintain control of the season series.