ANALYSIS: Will the Twins roll past the Royals? ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

ANALYSIS: The SportsLine Projection model pegs this one as a toss-up. The Angels are winning in 50 percent of its simulations, so they have good value at plus money. L.A. is covering the spread in 68 percent of the simulations. The stats projections have starters Chris Archer of Minnesota and the Angels’ Tucker Davidson failing to get through five innings. The bullpens entered Saturday night’s game with identical 3.95 ERAs and WHIPs right around 1.25. Minnesota entered the second game of this series with nine losses in its previous 15 games, and two of the wins were in extra innings.

ANALYSIS: The Rockies are a much better team at home (33-28) than on the road (18-36). And the Diamondbacks are the same, 32-29 at home and 19-32 on the road. This game will be in Denver, so I'll gladly take plus money on the Rockies. My model says Colorado wins more than 50 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value with the Rockies at this number.

ANALYSIS: My numbers see the Phillies winning outright more than half the time Friday against the Mets, providing a massive overlay on the juicy underdog. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is 6-1 with a 2.87 ERA in nine road starts this season. Mets ace Max Scherzer has just a 4.24 ERA in three starts against Philadelphia this year. He has given up 20 hits and 8 earned runs in 17 innings.

ANALYSIS: My simulations see a one-score game nearly two-thirds of the time Thursday between the White Sox and Royals, providing a major value in pocketing the +1.5 runs for a cheap price of -110. Projected Royals starter Zack Greinke was roughed up in his last outing against Boston, but had yielded just six total earned runs in his prior four starts. He is 3-2 in nine home starts with an ERA of 2.23