If you hopped on this line at open, lucky you, because you probably grabbed LSU anywhere between -4 and -5.5. For those waiting until closer to kickoff, I still like the Tigers as a touchdown-plus favorite. Despite Georgia's clearly superior defense, the Dawgs' top receiver -- the reason they beat Florida earlier this season -- is out. Star running back D'Andre Swift, while active, is banged up. And Jake Fromm has struggled with consistency. LSU's offense can be slowed down, but it cannot be stopped, and I don't think Georgia will be able to keep up for 60 minutes as its defense wears down.

I’m a big fan of Joe Burrow and LSU, but not enough to lay over a touchdown against a quality defensive squad like Georgia. And that’s despite Burrow and LSU beating the Bulldogs 36-16 in Baton Rouge earlier this season. The Georgia defense allows only 10 points per game, but LSU will be a huge challenge. The angle I find most attractive here is Georgia’s offense against LSU’s defense -- a unit that allows 22 points per game. Over has happened in seven of their last eight meetings, and that's where I am.

The LSU offense is averaging close to 50 points per game and the defense allows 22.1. Over the past six weeks, the Tiger defense ranks 48th in yards per play allowed. Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm will be appearing in his third straight SEC Championship Game. The over is 10-4-1 in LSU's last 15 games, and this series has gone over in seven of the last eight meetings.

Let’s count on Georgia’s defense, to gift-wrap an Under. The Bulldogs have played six games in a row below the total against SEC foes, with none surpassing 41 points during the stretch. Their offense is impaired with the absence of injured WR Lawrence Cager and suspended No. 2 target George Pickens for a half. A mostly pro-Georgia indoor crowd in Atlanta could interfere with LSU’s snap count.

The potent Tigers appear destined to capture an SEC title and playoff berth. They followed their signature win over Alabama with a three-part encore that included clobbering Ole Miss, Arkansas and Texas A&M while scoring at least 50 points in each contest. But Saturday's game is more than just a coronation for LSU. The Bulldogs sharpened up their offense against Georgia Tech and they might have the toughest defense in the country. A team similar in its physicality, Auburn, pushed LSU to the wire in a 23-20 loss. Look for Georgia to do the same.