My model doesn't agree with the line movement towards the Jayhawks this week. I make Kansas State -7.5 road favorites as they make the 90 minute ride to Lawrence. The Wildcats will continue to play well after the big upset of Oklahoma. Lay it.

Kansas State is coming off one of the biggest upsets in program history but will not face a rival that it is used to thumping. Kansas has shown an offensive ability under Les Miles that has made the Jayhawks competitive. Expect that to be the case in Saturday’s showdown as Kansas builds off its first Big 12 win last week. Take the Jayhawks.

Both teams come off huge wins, but Kansas State's 48-41 win against Oklahoma as 23.5-point underdogs rates a little higher than Kansas beating Texas Tech (-6). The Jayhawks have now covered three straight. Kansas almost snuck up on K-State last season in a 21-17 loss, but despite Kansas losing 10 straight to K-State, the Jayhawks are not sneaking up on anyone. Everyone now knows they’re a different and dangerous Kansas squad. There's no letdown for K-State on Saturday. The 'Cats cover.

Any choice other than laying the points with Kansas State would be foolhardy when one team has taken the last 10 meetings straight-up. Plus, Kansas has stumbled to 35 consecutive ranked opponents, though K-State barely qualifies at No. 25. The Wildcats have bumped off TCU and Oklahoma in their last two outings, so the only concern is a letdown. That is unlikely for this in-state rivalry. The 'Cats have covered in seven of the last 10 roadies, so this brief commute should be a breeze for them. Lay it.

Kansas State has the same philosophy under coach Chris Klieman that it had under Bill Snyder: dominate at the point of attack. That is how the Wildcats pulled off the upset against Oklahoma. They will have to stop Jayhawks RB Pooka Williams, but the Wildcats have the advantage up front and will avoid the upset in Lawrence.

Both teams come in to this one rolling, but the Wildcats proved last week that they are not only capable of pulling a big upset, but can contend for the Big 12 title. The Jayhawks defense has given up a whopping 537 yards per game in Big 12 action this year, and have given up 483 or more for four straight games. The Wildcats build off of last week's upset of Oklahoma and pull away late for a cover.