Cornell scores quickly but lacks defense, ranking last in the Ivy League for points allowed (83.2) and near the bottom nationally in Defensive eFG% (55.6%). Yale is built to exploit this, with a strong Offensive eFG% (56.1%, 25th nationally), low turnover rate (14.2%), and dominance on the offensive glass (32.8% ORB%). Cornell’s inability to end defensive possessions (29.9% allowed) further tilts the matchup toward Yale, whose roster averages two inches taller than Cornell. The teams split their season series, each winning at home: Yale dominated the first matchup 102-68, while Cornell narrowly won the rematch 72-69 by hitting 14 threes. Yale gets revenge at Newman Arena. Lay the favorite.
I think this line is a bit too high, especially since this is an elimination game, and the offenses aren't as likely to run and gun in the final ten minutes. Yale games have gone under this total in 10 of the last 11 games, while Cornell games have fallen below this total in 5 of the last 7 contests. While this game may be played in the upper 70s, I'm not expecting much more than that.
