TCU is an odd team but the Frogs tend to play up to their competition. I think this is a tough spot for Texas Tech to be laying double-digits. The Red Raiders have won three straight without star JT Toppin but are coming off an emotional upset over Iowa State. TCU has performed well as an underdog and I think Texas Tech could regress a bit here. I'll back the Frogs to stay within 10.5 points.

Texas Tech’s last three games have graded out as some of the best offensive performances of Big 12 play, but that does not mean the team is better without JT Toppin. Christian Anderson has been a superhero and there's been some lights-out shooting by the whole team, but if there’s any regression or cooling it opens the door for TCU to become a chaos team once again. The Frogs’ variance is astounding, capable of beating Iowa State and Florida and yet also losing by double-digits to Colorado. TCU will need easy points off turnovers and at the free throw line to keep the game competitive. But with a wide range of outcomes possible here I’ll take the points with the HypnoToads as underdogs.