Green Bay is one of the biggest surprises in CBB after finishing 3-29 last year. The Phoenix are 11-3 since Christmas with two of those losses coming to Northern Kentucky. They did lose to Purdue Fort Wayne in the first matchup but that was back in November. Green Bay has two big edges in this game. They are the top defensive rebounding team in the Horizon, while Fort Wayne is the worst on the offensive glass. The Phoenix also live by the 3-point shot, scoring 40% of their points from beyond the arc. That sets up well against a Fort Wayne defense that gives up a lot of perimeter shots. I make this number -4, so I see value on Green Bay at home.