Virginia and its opponent has not seen a total this low since 13 games ago. It might make sense with the pre-tournament Duke, but the Devils have erupted for 85 and 96 points in the ACC Tourney. Their games have closed with 165 and 183 points. Those numbers are a long way apart from Saturday's 123.5. These are not your regular season Dookies.

The last time Duke lost was against Virginia but have been on a tear since. Winning 8 in a row including a dominant performance against Pitt earlier this week. They've won all 8 by at least 4 points or more, I expect them to take care of business and head into the dance hot. I will be discussing this pick and more on the Early Edge at 10am!

Look, I get it. Duke has been a heavy under team all season, especially away from home -- unders are 12-5 when Duke is playing away from Cameron Indoor Stadium -- but this number is disrespectful to the way both of these offenses have played in Greensboro. Two of Duke's three most efficient offensive performances of the entire season have come in this tournament in wins against Pitt and Miami, and Virginia is averaging 73.0 points per game in its last 3 games. Recent trends reflect this improvement, with Duke overs hitting in 4 of the last 6 games and Virginia hitting the over in 3 of its last 5.