I don't think that Michigan State can keep up with Duke in this game. They're going to try to slow the game down but they don't have the talent to do so. The ACC looks good and I wouldn't be shocked to see another Big Ten team go home today in convincing fashion. Lay it.

I am a huge Sparty guy. There is no freaking way they are beating Duke barring Tim Donaghy being on the payroll and somehow reffing this game. They just aren't. Yes, anything can happen I suppose, but I will jump in the river and have Wile E Coyote tattooed on my ankle if they do, happily. I will likely play this with something (even though it's easy money) but wanted to bank it below -300. Good to see Izzo and Coach K match up one last time.

Michigan State has covered its last five games and gone Over the total in six of its past seven. The Spartans are at their best when they go fast, and Duke isn’t in its best defensive phase of the season. The Blue Devils are playing well below their rating, failing to cover in their last five games while going Over the total in six of their past seven. There's about nine points of value on this total. The Over is the top play.

Mike Krzyzewski may have a 12-3 record against Tom Izzo, but the Michigan State coach has an equally impressive 23-6 record on the two-day turnaround (one day of prep) situation you get in the second game of an NCAA Tournament pod. Two of Izzo's three wins against Duke have come in the NCAA Tournament, including the two-day turnaround scenario of the Elite Eight in 2019. Coach K might have an edge on Izzo, but this is a spot where the Michigan State staff thrives with preparation and game-planning. I'll take the points with the underdog.