Colgate embarrassed me last week when I was on Bucknell, but I'm going to go against the Raiders again at this price. The Greyhounds are not the same team that started 1-7. Cam Spencer's return -- he's 6 of 12 from deep in the four games he's played while averaging 11.8 points -- and Santi's Aldama's emerging dominance should enable Loyola to be competitive. Especially if the Greyhounds succeed in making this a slower-paced game. Take the points.

Colgate has been on fire in the Patriot League Tournament. In two tournament games, the Raiders have averaged 91.0 points and won by 19.0 a game. In the semifinal, they broke a Patriot League single-game tournament scoring record with 105 points in a victory over Bucknell. And on Sunday they play for a NCAA Tournament bid against Loyola at home. Everything points to Colgate. My model has the Raiders covering 70 percent of the time and winning by 17.