The Longhorns squandered a 16-point lead Saturday against Texas Tech and also lost two starters to injury in the process. Meanwhile, top-ranked Baylor survived a battle with Oklahoma State that was close until the final minute. Texas is now two games under .500 in the Big 12 and needs to start generating victories fast in order to stay alive for any sort of postseason consideration. Look for coach Shaka Smart's club to push this to the wire.

Both teams play at a methodical pace and both are stronger on the defensive end of the court. Texas, which ranks 129th on offense and 49th on defense, allows five fewer points at home than on the road. Baylor ranks 18th on offense and fourth on defense. In the first meeting between the two, there were 61 possessions and Baylor won 59-44 to finish well Under the closing total of 129.5. Texas' last three games against defensive teams all went Under.

Baylor lost at Texas last season but has won the last two meetings. The last came Jan. 4 in a 59-44 cover (-8.5). The Longhorns have lost their last two and five of seven. They are 9-4 at home this season, but just 4-9 ATS. -Baylor has a bulls-eye on its back with 20 straight wins and a No. 1 ranking. The Bears haven’t covered their last two games but are 9-2 ATS on the road. Baylor is the play Monday.

The Bears begin their fourth week with the No. 1 ranking, the longest stretch by any team this season. They have fended off six challengers since, going 3-3 ATS. Texas fell in the first matchup in Waco at full strength and might be thin here after starting G Jase Febres (ankle) and backup F Kai Jones (knee) sat out on Saturday. The Longhorns have covered in just four of 13 home outings.