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    Sun, Nov 266:00 pm UTCNRG Stadium
    53 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Jacksonville
    Jaguars
    JAC
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-8
    ATS9-8
    O/U8-9-0
    FINAL SCORE
    24
    -
    21
    Houston
    Texans
    HOU
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L10-7
    ATS9-7
    O/U6-11-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    9-8
    Win /Loss
    10-7
    9-8
    Spread
    9-7
    8-9-0
    Over / Under
    6-11-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    DE
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    SAF
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SAF
    Avatar
    SS
    Avatar
    OT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    JAC @ HOU
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    JAC @ HOU
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    JAC @ HOU
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    36%
    PUBLIC
    64%
    MONEY
    54%
    PUBLIC
    46%
    MONEY
    Over79%
    PUBLIC
    Under21%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadHouston +1.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2094
    82-55-8 in Last 145 NFL ATS Picks
    +669
    19-11-2 in Last 32 HOU ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The line is right here given the Texans and Jaguars enter as somewhat evenly matched teams. Houston has largely dominated this rivalry with a 10-1 edge straight up since 2018; it is also 4-1 ATS in the last five and 8-3 ATS in those last 11 meetings. The Texans are at home catching a point looking to continue their winning streak. We have seen the Jaguars take advantage of poor offensive teams, but when the competition steps up, the secondary fails. Look for a big day from C.J. Stroud and a Texans cover, though it may be a nail-biter through the finish.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 5:41 pm UTC
    Point SpreadJacksonville -1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1209.5
    67-51-5 in Last 123 NFL Picks
    +85
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +645
    7-1 in Last 8 JAC ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The Texans are fun team and a good story. But they have gotten a bunch of breaks during their three-game win streak by 10 combined points, winning two of them at the horn and fending off Arizona last week. The Jags are undefeated on the road, have the better team and can take control of the AFC South win a win Sunday.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 5:11 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 47.5 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    Allan's Analysis:

    This may not be a huge game in the grand scheme of NFL Week 12 but it is for taking ownership of the AFC South. Houston puts themselves nicely to take it with a win and Jacksonville would darn near solidify their standing with the dub. So really there's only one way to wager this matchup and that is with points, because their defenses aren't taking it.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 4:01 pm UTC
    Point SpreadHouston +1 +100
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
    +200
    3-1 in Last 4 JAC ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    Earlier in the season the Texans blasted the Jags 37-17, which many viewed as a one-off type fluke by Houston. Well, as the season has gone on we've now come to realize that they are a legit contender in the AFC South. Jags will be out for blood, but expect the fast starting Texans to keep up the scoring pace and seize the top of the division from Jacksonville.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 12:55 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsC.J. Stroud Over 272.5 Total Passing Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +12
    23-18 in Last 41 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    C.J. Stroud has thrived during his rookie season. He has thrown for at least 336 yards in each of the last three games. The Texans have played five games at home and Stroud had at least 306 passing yards in four of them. This is a great matchup for him to have another great stat line, given that the Jaguars have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game in the league. When Stroud faced them in Week 3 in Jacksonville, he threw for 280 yards on only 30 pass attempts in what was a lopsided win for the Texans.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 1:13 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDevin Singletary Over 47.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Texans couldn't run the ball back in Week 3 when they rolled the Jags and Singletary put up 41 yards on just 9 carries. In the last two weeks they have upped their fullback usage and used a bruising rush attack to buttress their play action game. He has 52 carries the last two weeks for 262 yards and will cause major problems for the Jags front here. Watch the under center runs with the fullback on the field.

    Pick Made: Nov 25, 8:01 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTank Dell Over 62.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    Tank Dell has 35 targets over his last three games and gets a projected game script that is going to require him to get plenty of targets on Sunday. Stroud is projected to throw for over 275 yards against a susceptible Jaguar defense and Dell and Nico Collins should get a lot of that work. I give the edge to Dell to be the leading receiver for Stroud and the Texans, but the entire offense should have sucess through the air.

    Pick Made: Nov 25, 7:25 pm UTC
    Point SpreadJacksonville -1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +558
    19-12-2 in Last 33 NFL Picks
    +258
    16-12-2 in Last 30 NFL ATS Picks
    +602
    17-10-1 in Last 28 HOU ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Texans got their sweet vibes going this season by surprising everyone with a 37-17 Week 3 blowout at Jacksonville and now sit in second place in the AFC South with a chance to take over first place with a win here. The Texans have won six of their last eight while the Jaguars have won six of their last seven. It’s time for the Jaguars to focus on the division. They can’t get swept here, they’re undefeated on the road (4-0). Jaguars to win, cover.

    Pick Made: Nov 25, 7:11 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCalvin Ridley Over 55.5 Total Receiving Yards -135
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    It’s been an up down and season for Calvin Ridley who is playing in his first year for the Jaguars after spending two full seasons on the shelf due to a suspension. Ridley has flashed elite upside back when he was the focal point of Atlanta’s passing attack but has also been a distant second in target share to Christian Kirk resulting in some duds. This looks like a fantastic spot to back Ridley against a depleted Texans pass defense in a game that projects to be a shootout with a 48 point total.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 8:52 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing InterceptionsTrevor Lawrence Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions +100
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Turnovers are a problem for Trevor Lawrence and especially against this Texans passing defense, he struggles with them. He has four in his last three games against them, at one in all three. Lawrence has thrown at least one pick in three of the four division games he's played this season, with last week's blowout of the Titans the only exception. Lawrence struggles vs HOU and they tend to frustrate him and this is a big shot and I see the Texans scoring points and forcing the Jags to keep pace. Also may need to chuck some jump balls late in the game.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 8:50 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsC.J. Stroud Over 271.5 Total Passing Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Stroud is almost a lock for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year but can he get in the thick of the NFL MVP race? Shockingly, Houston has beaten Jacksonville 10 of the last 11 times the two teams have met including earlier this season. Six QBs have surpassed this total vs. the Jaguars in ten games, including Stroud in Week 3. In his last three games, Stroud is averaging 387 yards per game. I'll predict another 300+ yard game for the rookie phenom in what should be a fun game on Sunday afternoon.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 4:34 am UTC
    Point SpreadHouston +1.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +901.5
    28-18-1 in Last 47 JAC ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Jaguars bounced back as expected against Tennessee, but they gave up too many big plays in that game defensively and now have to face an offense that's becoming known for explosive plays. The Jaguars defense is 26th in yards per pass and 29th in sack rate, so I expect fireworks from Houston here. Maybe the Jaguars offense keeps up, but they've largely struggled when facing good teams, and the Texans have proven to be a good team with impressive wins in Jacksonville and Cincinnati. Only two last-second field goals in road games have prevented Houston from being on an eight-game winning streak, and they shouldn't be catching points at home against teams that aren't top tier.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 2:01 pm UTC
    Total Home PointsHouston Over 23.5 Total Pts -120
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    +75
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Team Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Texans put up 37 at JAX in Week 3 when CJ Stroud was just adjusting to this Texans offense with heavy use of a fullback and play action. Singletary averaged 4.6/ carry that game and Stroud dominated on the road. Texans coaching staff came from SF and remain close (share ideas). 49ers eviscerated JAX two weeks ago (34-3) relying on FB and under center play action. Houston doing it a ton the last two weeks. Jags D is 31st in NFL with a FB on field (7.4/play, 5 TDs) and 29th vs opponents under center. Texans run game in best form of the season. Texans average 24/G, with 90 in last 3 games (despite 3 Stroud INT last week). That won't happen again.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 4:06 am UTC
    Money LineHouston +110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2338.5
    59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Texans are rolling running plays under center the last two weeks (45 plays/236 yards, 2nd in NFL), taking play action to the next level and putting their rookie QB in position to succeed. Jags are 26th vs rush and 29th in yards/play on D when opponent is under center. Singletary has gone 110+ in two straight and averaged 4.6 carry in their first meeting with Jags. Stroud's first win came that day in Jacksonville with a stellar 118.8 rating. He has a better compliment of pass catchers now and a healthier OL.HOU does not allow passing TDs and Trevor Lawrence last 3 games vs HOU - 1 TD, 4 INT, 70.6 rating. Texans thrive as a dog. Jags D just 26th in yds/play.

    Pick Made: Nov 21, 10:06 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 46.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1551.5
    89-61 in Last 150 NFL Picks
    +390
    5-1 in Last 6 NFL O/U Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    This game has the makings of a potential shootout between two of the higher volume passing offenses in the league. Both Jacksonville and Houston run D's rank in the top 10 in Run Stop Win Rate and as a result are pass funnels. I expect both teams to be aggressive and successful attacking down the field.

    Pick Made: Nov 20, 8:05 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 46.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +864
    33-24 in Last 57 NFL Picks
    +671
    26-19 in Last 45 NFL O/U Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Jaguars bounced back as expected against the Titans, but their defense gave up some big plays, which isn't a good precursor to facing an explosive Houston offense. The Jaguars defense is good on third down and in red zone, but Houston doesn't need either to score TDs. Houston's defense is much better against the run than pass, and Zay Jones' return has opened things up for Calvin Ridley and make the Jaguars' passing attack tougher to stop. This should be a bit of a track meet, and this total should only go up.

    Pick Made: Nov 20, 4:20 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Jacksonville Jaguars
    Friday, May 10, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Gabe Davis
    KneeQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Arik Armstead
    Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Christian Kirk
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Daniel Thomas
    ForearmQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Christian Braswell
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Cooper Hodges
    KneeQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Ventrell Miller
    AchillesQuestionable
    Houston Texans
    Thursday, May 09, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Noah Brown
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 08, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Tytus Howard
    KneeQuestionable
    Tuesday, May 07, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Tank Dell
    LegQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Jimmie Ward
    QuadricepsQuestionable
    Avatar
    SS
    Eric Murray
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Laremy Tunsil
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    M.J. Stewart
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Grayland Arnold
    CalfQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Lonnie Johnson
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    G
    Kendrick Green
    Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
    Avatar
    FB
    Troy Hairston II
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Teagan Quitoriano
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Dylan Horton
    PersonalQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Jarrett Patterson
    Lower LegQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Del'Shawn Phillips
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Kenyon Green
    Shoulder - LabrumQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Kilian Zierer
    AnkleQuestionable