loading...
Fri, Dec 021:15 am UTCGillette Stadium
35 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Buffalo
Bills
BUF
Last 5 ATS
W/L13-3
ATS8-8
O/U6-10-0
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
New England
Patriots
NE
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-9
ATS7-9
O/U8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
13-3
Win /Loss
8-9
8-8
Spread
7-9
6-10-0
Over / Under
8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BUF @ NE
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

MONEYLINE
BUF @ NE
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

OVER / UNDER
BUF @ NE
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Expert's PickBuffalo -4 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+2577
84-53-4 in Last 141 NFL ATS Picks
+1696
48-28-2 in Last 78 NFL ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

It’s admittedly tough to back the Bills here when I know Josh Allen is going to throw a back-breaking red zone interception against this Patriots defense. Still, New England has mostly thrived beating up teams far worse than Buffalo. In fact, it does not have what most would consider a "good" win this season with its losses coming by an average of 10.6 points. That's not to say the Bills have been world-beaters as of late with a 1-4 ATS mark in their last five. But this screams like a spot where the Pats are getting the benefit of the doubt for being coached by Bill Belichick without consideration to their massive offensive issues or perspective for their defense. Expecting Mac Jones to keep up with Allen or create a backdoor cover scenario late is just not something I can buy into. I like this much better at -3.5 than -4, but it’s still a fair line. If you want to wait until after kickoff to try and get -3 live, even better. Either way, the Bills are the side here even without Von Miller.

Pick Made: Dec 02, 12:38 am UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickNew England +4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1938
37-12 in Last 49 NFL ML Picks
+1076
22-10 in Last 32 NFL ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

New England is listing two starting offensive linemen in David Andrews and Trent Brown as questionable but they apparently both will play and that's my decider on taking the points against a Bills team missing Von Miller. The future Hall of Famer ranks third in the NFL in quarterback pressures (38). No other Bills player has more than 12 pressures, with Miller's 216 pressure gap the largest in the NFL this season. Miller leads the Bills in sacks (eight), pass rush win rate (23.7%) and pressure percentage (14.6%).

Pick Made: Dec 01, 11:31 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickBuffalo -4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Money is flowing in against the Bills, who have not covered any of their last five games. But this number is too low considering Josh Allen's track record versus the Patriots and especially in New England (3-0-1 ATS). These teams haven't met since Buffalo destroyed the Pats 47-17 in last season's playoffs, a game in which the Bills did not punt. Allen is a tremendous runner and we've seen the Pats fail to contain Lamar Jackson and Justin Fields. Allen (elbow) is practicing fully this week, something he hasn't done since the first week of November. While the Bills won't have Von Miller, they should get AJ Epenesa and Greg Rousseau back from ankle injuries. Lay the points.

Pick Made: Nov 30, 4:44 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickOver 43.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Sides Picks
+281
5-2 in Last 7 NFL O/U Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Since playing the extreme weather game in Orchard Park last year, the Bills have totaled 910 yards of offense and 80 points against the Patriots in two meetings. And while the Patriots defense has performed well overall this year, it's gotten fat on several limited offenses while also giving up 30-plus points in three games. The Bills defense hasn't been as strong over the last month as it was earlier in the season and is now missing star pass rusher Von Miller, so it's possible the Patriots offense approaches the success it had last week when it carved up the Vikings. Despite the relatively low total, there's a decent chance this game gets into the 50s.

Pick Made: Nov 30, 4:33 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickNew England +5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1429
22-7-1 in Last 30 NFL ATS Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

New England has the defense to slow Buffalo. The Patriots lead the league in defensive EPA per game (8.30) and also are one of the best defenses in the red zone. Opponents are scoring touchdowns on just 51.5% of red zone trips. Meanwhile Buffalo struggles in the red zone, scoring on just 76.7% of trips, which is the third worst in the league. My model says the Patriots cover 55% of the time, so you're getting value at this number.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 6:48 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Buffalo Bills
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
DT
Larry Ogunjobi
SuspensionSuspended
Avatar
LB
Mike Hoecht
SuspensionSuspended
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
QB
Shane Buechele
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Baylon Spector
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Travis Clayton
ShoulderQuestionable
New England Patriots
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
TE
Hunter Henry
FootQuestionable
Avatar
FS
Jabrill Peppers
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Marte Mapu
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Marcus Jones
HipQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Christian Barmore
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Kyle Dugger
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Ja'Lynn Polk
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Jaquelin Roy
FootQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Christian Gonzalez
ConcussionQuestionable
Tuesday, Mar 11, 2025
Avatar
SAF
Marcus Epps
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
WR
Stefon Diggs
Knee - ACLQuestionable
© 2025 CBS INTERACTIVE INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. SportsLine and SportLine PRO are registered trademarks of SportsLine.com, Inc.FANS ONLY
In partnership with...247 Sports

FOLLOW US:

The content on this site is for entertainment purposes only and SportsLine makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. There is no gambling offered on this site. This site contains commercial content and SportsLine may be compensated for the links provided on this site.