Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks

MGM / FD. After his 17 rebound plus assist performance in Game 1, Evan Mobley has recorded 9 and 8 in the following contests. Overall, he’s under this line in 10/17 playoff games, and 5/6 against the Knicks this season. New York is a tough opponent for big men rebounds and assists, and with the Cavs inserting Max Strus into the starting lineup, that adds a better rebounder and distributor than Dean Wade.

Following Jalen Brunson’s scoring eruption in Game 1, the Cavs defended him differently and he ended Game 2 with 14 assists. Now Brunson is coming off another 30-point game. In this close-out scenario, look for Brunson to facilitate for his teammates as the Knicks advance.
It seems plausible that the Cavaliers find the pride to get past the Knicks here and keep the series going. But the last two games the Knicks have outscored the Cavs by double figures in either first quarter or third quarter and there’s been no counter-rally. The Cavs have been outscored by 42 points the last two with James Harden on the court. The first two series, the Knicks had closeout games on the road, and won them by 30 and 51 points. They’re not taking the night off.

In the three games vs. the Cavs in this series, Mikal Bridges is averaging 18.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 3.0 assists for a total of 26 PRA. Dating back to Game 6 vs. the Hawks, he has played an average of 34.1 minutes per game and scored 17+ in seven of the eight games, clearing his PRA in all eight contests.

FanDuel (1.5u). Let’s continue to ride the Mikal Bridges wave for Game 4. The Knicks wing has now cleared this combined line in each of his last eight games, with 24+ PRA in each game this series. The Cavs do not have an answer for Bridges, who continues to move exceptionally well without the ball while being guarded by the Cavs weaker defenders (James Harden, Donovan Mitchell or Sam Merrill). With Bridges minutes up to 38-40, look for the wing to continue to produce. With at least 34 minutes played this season, Bridges has a 77% hit rate on this line. Play it up to 21.5 for a full unit.

Jarrett Allen had his best performance of the series in Game 3, scoring 17 points over 36 minutes. Over his last nine playoff games, he has averaged 15.7 points and shot 64.6% from the field. He scored at least 13 points in seven of those nine games, including two of the games against the Knicks. He only had 10 points in Game 1, but that was because he shot 4-for-8 from the free throw line. He doesn’t usually struggle there as he is a career 71.1% shooter from the charity stripe. Allen should play a lot as the Cavaliers try to avoid elimination, so take this over.

Mikal Bridges was excellent again in Game 3, scoring 22 points across 39 minutes. He has played at least 39 minutes and scored at least 18 points in all three games of this series. He has been incredibly efficient, shooting 71.1% from the field. Going back to the previous round, Bridges has scored at least 17 points in seven of his last eight games. With him likely to approach 40 minutes again in Game 4, the over is the way to go here.
New York has won 10 straight by an average of 22.5 points. Cleveland has not recovered from blowing a 22-point, fourth-quarter lead in Game 1 at MSG. The Knicks’ bench will be looking to shine in Game 4 as the team could face another lengthy layoff. Between an influx of New York fans and the disappointment among Cavs’ faithful, the atmosphere won’t be too hostile for the Knicks.
Team Injuries





