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Mon, May 2512:00 am UTCFrost Bank Center
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L74-20
ATS46-48
O/U53-41-0
FINAL SCORE
82
-
103
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L71-26
ATS56-41
O/U46-51-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
74-20
Win /Loss
71-26
46-48
Spread
56-41
53-41-0
Over / Under
46-51-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OKC @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
OKC @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
OKC @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

52%
PUBLIC
48%
MONEY
41%
PUBLIC
60%
MONEY
Over96%
PUBLIC
Under4%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + REBDevin Vassell Over 18.5 Total Points + Rebounds -113
WIN
Unit1.0
+1479
29-13 Last 42 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. With all of the injury uncertainty around the Spurs backcourt, Devin Vassell has emerged as a reliable scoring option on the wing. Vassell has 19+ points plus rebounds in each game this series, and has been a vital piece to the Spurs perimeter defensively. With De’Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper’s effectiveness both in question, I expect Vassell to continue to thrive against a Thunder defense that forces to action to spot up shooters.

Pick Made: Sun 11:27 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
3PT Field GoalsJared McCain Over 2.5 Total 3pt Field Goals +107
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1479
29-13 Last 42 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Going to run back Jared McCain three pointers, which is now at 2.5 for Game 4. With Ajay Mitchell and Jalen Williams both ruled out, McCain should be relied on heavily to score. Having shot 19 threes over the last two games, I do like him to keep firing tonight. As a member of the Thunder, McCain has cleared this line in 9/14 games with at least 22 minutes played.

Pick Made: Sun 11:22 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsVictor Wembanyama Over 25.5 Total Points -113
WIN
Unit1.0
+1957
87-56 Last 143 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

The Spurs are getting battered whenever Victor Wembanyama leaves the floor. They might have to play him 44 minutes in Sunday's must-win Game 4. Wemby took a series-low 15 shots and grabbed just four rebounds in the Game 3 loss. With the Spurs' season at stake, look for Wemby to be more aggressive and clear this points prop for the third time this series.

Pick Made: Sun 10:30 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Total Points -106
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander hasn't scored as much as I’d think he would like in the Western Conference Finals. He averaged 31 points in the regular season and 28.5 in the 11 postseason games. There's going to be one game or two games where he lays down his mark, and I think tonight is it. He hasn't scored over 30 points in the three games against the Spurs. He’s been passing way too much, but it works for them. The MVP puts a stamp on the series and gets near 40, I’ll bet. SGA gets over 29.5 points.

Pick Made: Sun 7:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over/UnderOver 219.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

The Thunder and Spurs have gone over the total in four straight meetings, including all three of the Western Conference Finals. But the total for the game hasn't moved, even though they put up 231 in the last game. The total is still sitting at 219.5. I think this game is going to be like the last two, with the Spurs chasing OKC. The Thunder have gone over in their last 6 games and 9 of ten. I think they have taken away the advantage the Spurs had coming in, having won four of the five meetings in the regular season. The deep Thunder bench that played lots of minutes all season is paying dividends now. This game gets over.

Pick Made: Sun 5:52 pm UTC on DraftKings
1st Q Total1st Quarter Over 53.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
David's Analysis:

The Spurs and Thunder are two of the top four teams in first-quarter scoring this season. The Spurs are second at 31.4, and the Thunder are fourth at 30.5. That's a combined 61.9. In this series, all three games have gone over the 53.5, with 54 in Game 1, 62 in Game 2, and 57 in Game 3. And that's with the Thunder not scoring at all for the first four minutes of the game on Friday. The final 3 games of the Spurs-Wolves series also went over the 1st-quarter total.

Pick Made: May 24, 4:19 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PointsJared McCain Over 12.5 Total Points -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1957
87-56 Last 143 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Ajay Mitchell is out, and it's uncertain if Jalen Williams will return Sunday from the hamstring injury he aggravated in Game 2. I'm betting Williams sits again, which would push Cason Wallace into the starting lineup. Jared McCain's role is secure. He's a pure scorer, not just a 3-point shooter, who aggressively looks for his shot. He was plus-28 in 27 minutes during Friday's road win. For the series, the Thunder have outscored the Spurs by 46 points with McCain on the floor. Look for McCain to play 25-plus minutes as his role continues to grow.

Pick Made: May 24, 3:55 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBCason Wallace Over 13.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2254
137-96 Last 233 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Jalen Williams (hamstring) is listed as questionable after sitting out Game 3. I think he sits again, given how many issues he has had with his hamstrings this season. To complicate matters for the Thunder, Ajay Mitchell (calf) won’t play. Cason Wallace has already had a productive series, posting at least 14 combined points, rebounds and assists in all three games. He should play close to 30 minutes Sunday, leaving him with a favorable opportunity to hit this over.

Pick Made: May 24, 1:37 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
AssistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Total Assists -106
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2254
137-96 Last 233 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

The Spurs have been trying to force the ball out of the hands of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Not only do they have good defensive guards to throw at him, but they have also been sending double teams his way. That has forced Gilgeous-Alexander to look for his teammates more. The result has been him recording at least nine assists in all three games of this series. In two of them, he had 12 assists each. Expect the Spurs to continue to deploy a similar strategy, making this over appealing.

Pick Made: May 24, 1:30 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBCason Wallace Over 13.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1479
29-13 Last 42 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. I’ll gladly back Cason Wallace on his combined points, rebounds and assists line once again in Game 4. The defensive whiz stuffed the stat sheet with 20 PRA in 28 minutes in Game 3, his third straight game over this line. Ajay Mitchell has been ruled out, and Jalen Williams is questionable (and likely limited if he does go). Wallace, by virtue of his perimeter defense, will continue to see 24-28 minutes, and should keep helping to fill the offensive void left by his injured teammates (and Chet Holmgren).

Pick Made: May 24, 5:03 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Oklahoma City Thunder
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PF
Thomas Sorber
KneeOut
Monday, May 25, 2026
Avatar
PG
Ajay Mitchell
CalfOut
Sunday, May 24, 2026
Avatar
SF
Jalen Williams
HamstringQuestionable
San Antonio Spurs
Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
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