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Sat, May 091:30 am UTCTarget Center
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L67-24
ATS52-39
O/U41-50-0
FINAL SCORE
115
-
108
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-37
ATS43-49
O/U42-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
67-24
Win /Loss
55-37
52-39
Spread
43-49
41-50-0
Over / Under
42-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SA @ MIN
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
SA @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
SA @ MIN
Subscribers Only

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60%
PUBLIC
40%
MONEY
69%
PUBLIC
32%
MONEY
Over87%
PUBLIC
Under13%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PointsAnthony Edwards Over 22.5 Total Points -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+279
10-6 Last 16 NBA Player Props
Zack's Analysis:

Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves will aim to go 4 and 0 in the playoffs at home this year. For Edwards this is closer to his original timeline of return, as he was expected to comeback in game three or four. Don’t be surprised if he looks closer to 100 percent tonight, and has a bump in minutes played. Edwards has averaged 15 points in his limited role. Expect a showcase game from Edwards as he clears his adjusted points prop.

Pick Made: May 08, 8:46 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
ReboundsJulius Randle Over 6.5 Total Rebounds -126
LOSS
Unit1.0
+921
14-4 Last 18 NBA Player Props
David's Analysis:

With Minnesota big man Rudy Gobert guarding Spurs C Victory Wembanyama up top, the floor has opened for Julius Randle to get more boards. In game 1, he flew over his total with 10 rebounds, matching Gobert. In game 2, he had 5 rebounds in just 27 minutes of action due to the blowout. There should also be more boards to go around, unless the Spurs hit 50% of their shots again. Randle had 7+ rebounds in four of the six games in the first round vs. Denver.

Pick Made: May 08, 5:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + REBRudy Gobert Under 19.5 Total Points + Rebounds -121
LOSS
Unit1.0
+491.5
21-12 Last 33 NBA Player Props
Adam's Analysis:

Rudy Gobert isn’t out there to score for the Timberwolves. In three games vs. Victor Wembanyama this season, Gobert has tallied 2, 7 and 5 points. He’s grabbed 10 rebounds in each playoff game. The Wolves have had injury issues, but Gobert isn’t the one who’s stepping up offensively.

Pick Made: May 08, 3:24 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBDe'Aaron Fox Under 27.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+743
13-5 Last 18 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Of the Spurs three primary offensive options, De’Aaron Fox might have drawn the short straw in this matchup against the Timberwolves, with Jaden McDaniels checking the Spurs point guard. Fox has failed to put up even 20 combined points, rebounds and assists in either game this series (albeit with no fourth quarter minutes in Game 2). I’m expecting a stronger defensive effort from the Timberwolves tonight, and for Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle to lead the charge. Playable down to under 26.5.

Pick Made: May 08, 2:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsTerrence Shannon Jr. Over 9.5 Total Points -137
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1972
124-87 Last 211 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

The Timberwolves continue to battle injuries. Anthony Edwards (knee) has come off the bench and been limited to 25 minutes or fewer in both games against the Spurs. That restriction is unlikely to change Friday. Ayo Dosunmu is now battling both calf and heel injuries and is questionable to play. Terrence Shannon Jr. is playing more because of injuries, even starting each of the last three games. Dating back to the regular season, Shannon has scored at least 10 points in eight straight games in which he has logged at least 14 minutes. In six of those games, he scored at least 16 points. With the expectation that he plays around 25 minutes in Game 3, Shannon has a great opportunity to hit this over.

Pick Made: May 08, 12:29 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
ReboundsNaz Reid Over 5.5 Total Rebounds -145
WIN
Unit1.0
+2547
78-44 Last 122 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Naz Reid has cleared this prop total in seven straight games; he grabbed seven boards in Game 2 despite playing just 21 minutes in a major blowout. With Minnesota playing just three bigs -- Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle and Reid -- I like Reid to continue his rebounding pace. I would also go Over 6.5 at plus money.

Pick Made: May 08, 3:33 am UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

San Antonio Spurs
Monday, May 11, 2026
Avatar
PG
De'Aaron Fox
AnkleQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Apr 26, 2026
Avatar
SG
Donte DiVincenzo
AchillesOut
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