I know we shouldn't rely on past performances when handicapping a match, but how can we ignore this history? Arsenal have covered against Leeds in three straight meetings, winning by a combined 13-1. They've also scored at least four goals in each of those matches. Yes, Leeds are unbeaten, but Arsenal have scored nine goals over their last five matches and should dominate possession here. I don't see Leeds having much of the ball. Instead, they'll likely sit deep and dare Arsenal to break them down. The question is whether Arsenal can turn that possession into quality chances. Against my better judgment, I'm laying the 1.5 goals. I don't care. Give me Arsenal to win comfortably.
Arsenal dominated Leeds last season, beating the Whites 5-0 at home and 4-0 on the road. The Gunners have won their last four matches against Leeds, and they're unbeaten against this team in the past 20 years. They've made a strong start to the new campaign, and they're currently second in the Premier League table, with four wins from five games. Leeds are unbeaten so far this season, but they tend to struggle against the Gunners. Arsenal are missing a few key players through injury, but they have a deep squad, and they should have enough firepower to beat Leeds.
