This feels like a major class difference. AEK Athens are a solid team domestically, but it’s hard to think they have success at the Etihad. They’re coming off a 3-1 loss to Shakhtar Donetsk in a match where they had more shots, more touches in the opposition box, and five big chances compared to Shakhtar’s two. Yet they still conceded three goals. Their weak back line is why I'm backing City. If AEK are struggling defensively against weaker opposition, how are they supposed to contain Erling Haaland and company? I fully expect City to score three or four goals here. Three gives us a great chance to cover, while four should put this bet comfortably out of reach.
