This is going to be a very close matchup between two more than capable sides. I believe that both teams will win their home leg, and the question is by how much each team can win. Atalanta will try to keep things close in the first leg, while Dortmund will look to press the attack and fight for a multi-goal lead in the first leg. Dortmund have won four of their last five home games in the new year, and their supporters in UCL play are going to be wild. Expect the hosts to win leg one.
I was honestly a bit surprised to see this line set to over 2.5 goals instead of over 3.5 goals. I think it's because Atalanta are capable of keeping things scrappy and close. We saw that most recently when they played Lazio to a 2-0 win, and Como to a 0-0 draw. My belief is that with this being a 2-legged playoff, Dortmund are going to press heavily at home in this first leg, knowing that playing in Italy is going to be tough. I'm expecting Dortmund to score 2+ goals in the first leg, and wouldn't be shocked if Atalanta snag one as well. Take BTTS and over 2.5 goals with an explosive Dortmund attack.
