PSG should be far too strong for Athletic Club in this game. Athletic Club have struggled in this competition, with just one win in five games. They were heavily beaten by Dortmund, Arsenal, and Newcastle. They could only draw with a weak Slavia Prague team, and their only win came against Qarabag. Their league form has been underwhelming too, so I expect them to be outclassed by the reigning European champions in Bilbao.
It's crazy how much home-field advantage can skew a number. Athletic Club are not a bad team by any means, but the ML line for PSG frankly should not be playable. PSG has all the right players finding form at just the right time for this match. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia picked up a brace over the weekend against Rennes, while Ousmane Dembele and Bradley Barcola are both looking fit enough to start again. PSG has been been running over clubs in UCL without their best goal scorers - just imagine what they can do now that they're all coming back. Athletic couldn't score against Slavia, and defensively have looked disjointed. I'm expected a big three points for PSG.
You should almost never, see a line at 2.5 goals in a match featuring PSG. There are 36 clubs playing in Champions League. Out of those 36 clubs, none of them have scored more than PSG five matchdays in. PSG are sitting with a towering 19 goals scored, while still conceded eight. 27 goals over five matches and you're going to let me bet over 2.5 goals? Well okay then! This one is simple. PSG have hit the over in every UCL match this season, and they still need points. I see no reason not to bet on six in a row against a defensively leaking Athletic side.
