I'm a lot of things when it comes to handicapping; stubborn and committed to my numbers so as this total has run it's come into range Projected total 6.5 U (-115). Goalies: Nedeljkovic (SJS) vs Ingram (EDM) Full disclosure I've bet the under each of the last 2 meetings with these teams and had no success. However current form for the Sharks suggest they're better defensively (top 10 in xG L5 games) and not generating nearly as much offensively. Oilers have been leaky the last 2 games (terrible pun) but the underlying numbers suggest they're doing a good job suppressing chances. I respect the market running against me but still see an opportunity to make a small bet on defense tonight.

The Oilers just played a wild, back-and-forth OT game at altitude in Salt Lake City on Tuesday so might be on utter fumes tonight. Neither team has even clinched a playoff spot yet despite Edmonton co-leading the Pacific. The Sharks have to get two points or probably are done for especially with a road-heavy remaining slate. They have won five of six. Since I'm not being offered +1, a rare NHL moneyline dog is the play. The first three meetings all saw at least seven goals scored to no surprise.