This is probably getting to 7 and in that case I usually hammer under, but since I'm thinking a little differently these days in this perplexing NHL season, let's hit over the 6.5 while it's still there as then the "3 + 3 = 7 rule" comes into play -- i.e., if it's tied 3-3 at the end of regulation, we win. Buffalo can score with anyone many nights but has allowed at least five goals in four straight and must address goaltending this offseason. Is Manon Rhéaume available? Wow I had a crush on her and now see she is on Twitter ... FOLLOW. All of New Jersey's offensive splits are better on the road.

This makes a lot of sense. Both Buffalo and New Jersey are in the top six in the NHL in goals scored per game. These are two high-flying offenses and the game has the potential to turn into a rock fight. The Over's hitting in 67% of my model's simulations, making it an easy pick here.