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    Fri 03/24 | 11:00 PM UTC | Buffalo
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    New Jersey Devils 57-36, +591 ML
    NJ -1.5+135
    NJ -178
    Over 7-105
    Buffalo Sabres 41-40, +852 ML
    BUF +1.5-160
    BUF +150
    Under 7-115

    Expert Picks

    NHL | New Jersey 4 @ Buffalo 5 | 03/24 | 11:00 PM UTC

    OVER 6.5 -135

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: This is probably getting to 7 and in that case I usually hammer under, but since I'm thinking a little differently these days in this perplexing NHL season, let's hit over the 6.5 while it's still there as then the "3 + 3 = 7 rule" comes into play -- i.e., if it's tied 3-3 at the end of regulation, we win. Buffalo can score with anyone many nights but has allowed at least five goals in four straight and must address goaltending this offseason. Is Manon Rhéaume available? Wow I had a crush on her and now see she is on Twitter ... FOLLOW. All of New Jersey's offensive splits are better on the road.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +75 2-1 IN LAST 3 BUF O/U PICKS
    +175 3-1 IN LAST 4 NJ O/U PICKS

    Season Splits

    57-36, +591 ML
    41-40, +852 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    63%
    45-26, +740
    33-37, +133
    47%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    74%
    26-9, +1293
    13-23, -1208
    36%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or Even
    63%
    31-18, -43
    21-28, +258
    42%
    When Line was -197 to -167
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was +139 to +169
    62%
    5-3, -35
    6-11, -187
    35%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    76%
    13-4, +315
    6-16, -943
    27%
    vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    56%
    13-10, -1
    12-16, +250
    42%
    vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
    72%
    34-13, +933
    8-10, +198
    44%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    60%
    37-24, +179
    30-29, +528
    50%
    vs BUF
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs NJ
    100%
    1-0, +63
    0-1, -100
    0%
    when Vitek Vanecek starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen starts
    69%
    29-13, +869
    15-15, +49
    50%