The Blues and Avalanche have combined for nine and seven goals the past two games, and 66 percent of my model simulations finish Over 6.5 goals in Game 5 on Wednesday. The model has about 7.5 goals being scored.

I don't really like this number very much for Wednesday, but I also can't talk myself into either puckline. As good as Blues goaltender Ville Husso was in the regular season, he has been that lousy in these playoffs and with No. 1 Jordan Binnington out injured, St. Louis has nowhere else to turn. Tough to see Colorado blowing a chance to finish this series at home and rest up for either Calgary or Edmonton. Perhaps take Avs in regulation to bring this down.