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Thu, May 1211:30 pm UTCAmalie Arena
Toronto
Maple Leafs
TOR
Last 5 ML
W/L57-32
ATS43-46
O/U50-33-6
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L65-40
ATS51-54
O/U53-50-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
57-32
Win /Loss
65-40
43-46
Spread
51-54
50-33-6
Over / Under
53-50-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TOR @ TB
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

MONEYLINE
TOR @ TB
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
TOR @ TB
Subscribers Only

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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Toronto +115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1711
20-8 in Last 28 NHL Picks
+525
15-10 in Last 25 NHL ML Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

It seems too easy just to take the Lightning after a loss. The Maple Leafs are the faster team, so let's take them to end the series. Tampa Bay looks gassed after playing all those games over the past three seasons. Take the road team.

Pick Made: May 12, 4:48 pm UTC on WHNJ
Tampa Bay -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+590
55-44 in Last 99 NHL ML Picks
+500
5-0 in Last 5 NHL ML Picks
John's Analysis:

The Lightning have been money following a loss the past few postseasons and I don’t think they’ll go out at home after their run the last two seasons. The Maple Leafs have had trouble closing out teams in the past as they have yet to win a series in the Auston Matthews era. This could finally be their year to advance, but I don’t think they do it on the road. I like the Lightning at home coming off a loss.

Pick Made: May 12, 2:34 pm UTC on WHNJ
Tampa Bay -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+3666
161-87-9 in Last 257 NHL Picks
+1894
151-95 in Last 246 NHL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The teams have alternated wins thus far, although the champs had the Leafs on the ropes early in Game 5 in Toronto but let them off and lost a chance to clinch at home Thursday. Are you aware Tampa Bay has won 16 consecutive playoff games following a loss? Just incredible. I so badly want to see a Game 7 in this series anyways. Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1

Pick Made: May 11, 10:53 pm UTC on Consensus

Team Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs
Thursday, Dec 11, 2025
Avatar
D
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Lower BodyQuestionable
Tampa Bay Lightning
Friday, Dec 12, 2025
Avatar
C
Dominic James
UndisclosedQuestionable
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