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Thu, May 1211:30 pm UTCAmalie Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Toronto
Maple Leafs
TOR
Last 5 ML
W/L57-32
ATS43-46
O/U50-33-6
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L65-40
ATS51-54
O/U53-50-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
57-32
Win /Loss
65-40
43-46
Spread
51-54
50-33-6
Over / Under
53-50-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TOR @ TB
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MONEYLINE
TOR @ TB
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OVER / UNDER
TOR @ TB
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Expert's PickToronto +115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1711
20-8 in Last 28 NHL Picks
+525
15-10 in Last 25 NHL ML Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

It seems too easy just to take the Lightning after a loss. The Maple Leafs are the faster team, so let's take them to end the series. Tampa Bay looks gassed after playing all those games over the past three seasons. Take the road team.

Pick Made: May 12, 4:48 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickTampa Bay -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+590
55-44 in Last 99 NHL ML Picks
John's Analysis:

The Lightning have been money following a loss the past few postseasons and I don’t think they’ll go out at home after their run the last two seasons. The Maple Leafs have had trouble closing out teams in the past as they have yet to win a series in the Auston Matthews era. This could finally be their year to advance, but I don’t think they do it on the road. I like the Lightning at home coming off a loss.

Pick Made: May 12, 2:34 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickTampa Bay -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+4004
145-69-8 in Last 222 NHL Sides Picks
+1894
151-95 in Last 246 NHL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The teams have alternated wins thus far, although the champs had the Leafs on the ropes early in Game 5 in Toronto but let them off and lost a chance to clinch at home Thursday. Are you aware Tampa Bay has won 16 consecutive playoff games following a loss? Just incredible. I so badly want to see a Game 7 in this series anyways. Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1

Pick Made: May 11, 10:53 pm UTC on Consensus

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs
Thursday, May 15, 2025
Avatar
G
Anthony Stolarz
Upper BodyOut
Saturday, May 03, 2025
Avatar
D
Jani Hakanpaa
KneeIr
Tampa Bay Lightning
Friday, May 02, 2025
Avatar
RW
Oliver Bjorkstrand
Lower BodyOut
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
LW
Brandon Hagel
Upper BodyOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
65%
57-30, +318
53-34, -415
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
24-19, -342
28-15, -133
65%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
5-7, -159
48-24, +59
66%
When Line was +102 to +132
MONEY LINE
When Line was -154 to -124
33%
2-4, -160
13-6, +347
68%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
36%
4-7, -259
28-15, -133
65%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
65%
26-14, +560
17-21, -714
44%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
71%
33-13, +330
33-19, -298
63%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
67%
50-24, +477
43-32, -895
57%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
55%
5-4, +43
4-5, -123
44%
when Jack Campbell starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
69%
36-16, +383
42-26, -196
61%
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