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Thu 05/12 | 11:30 PM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Toronto Maple Leafs 57-31, +218 ML
TOR +1.5-200
TOR +130
Over 6.5-115
Tampa Bay Lightning 65-39, +219 ML
TB -1.5+170
TB -150
Under 6.5-105

Expert Picks

Toronto 3 @ Tampa Bay 4 | 05/12 | 11:30 PM UTC

Tampa Bay -135

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Lightning have been money following a loss the past few postseasons and I don’t think they’ll go out at home after their run the last two seasons. The Maple Leafs have had trouble closing out teams in the past as they have yet to win a series in the Auston Matthews era. This could finally be their year to advance, but I don’t think they do it on the road. I like the Lightning at home coming off a loss.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+25 2-1 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS
+14 38-30 IN LAST 68 TB ML PICKS
+525 13-9 IN LAST 22 TOR ML PICKS

Season Splits

57-31, +218 ML
65-39, +219 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
65%
57-30, +318
53-34, -415
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
24-19, -342
28-15, -133
65%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
5-7, -159
48-24, +59
66%
When Line was +102 to +132
MONEY LINE
When Line was -154 to -124
33%
2-4, -160
13-6, +347
68%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
36%
4-7, -259
28-15, -133
65%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
65%
26-14, +560
17-21, -714
44%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
71%
33-13, +330
33-19, -298
63%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
67%
50-24, +477
43-32, -895
57%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
55%
5-4, +43
4-5, -123
44%
when Jack Campbell starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
69%
36-16, +383
42-26, -196
61%