Even with the Eagles resting many starters, they are the more talented team in this game. Not only that, they know that playing better overall will be required for a playoff run. In a similar situation last year, Sunday starter Tanner McKee threw for 269 yards and two touchdowns in a seven-point win over the Giants. Speaking of New York, that’s the only team Washington has defeated since Oct. 5. Philadelphia also has a chance at the No. 2 seed as Chicago is playing a game Detroit squad. With the spread hitting a FG, let’s play E-a-g-l-e-s.

The Eagles are resting starters in this spot, but McKee had success in this situation last year against a similarly bad Giants defense. The Eagles allowed McKee to let it rip and attempt 41 passes in a game they led 10-0 at halftime and 17-3 in the fourth quarter, and he racked up nice numbers targeting Eagles backups. The Commanders defense has been getting beat up for most of the season and I'm not sure how much effort we get in a road game against a team resting its best players. I'd also look to sprinkle a bit on McKee Over 1.5 passing touchdowns at plus money.

The Eagles are resting starters for this game, which is why this line is 10 points lower than it would be in a competitive environment. I still expect the Eagles to win relatively easy as the Washington offense had little success in the first meeting, which featured both Marcus Mariota and Josh Johnson due to the former's injury. Johnson is back under center here, and I don't expect him to have success against an Eagles defense that will still have to play plenty of key players. Tanner McKee did a great job in a similar spot last year, carving up a bad Giants defense en route to a 20-13 win. I see a similar result in this one.

Perhaps Philadelphia does not care about which team it hosts in the first round of the playoffs. Word is that several key Eagles will skip the regular season closer. No specifics yet, but it seems likely that QB Jalen Hurts and RB Saquon Barkley will be among the spectators. Eagles' games lean toward low scores anyway, with an average of 39 ppg since their bye. With offensive stars probably sitting, look for that figure to be out of reach. The Commanders' defense has been mostly dreadful, but maybe it will draw incentive from being able to shine against Eagles' backups.

The first meeting where Marcus Mariota suffered an injury saw the Eagles win 29-18, but Washington was lucky to score that many points with just two drives longer than 24 yards. The Eagles defense looked back in top form last week against the Bills, and they should have a field day here even if the team rests some players as plenty of key defenders will still have to rotate in. With a scaled-back offense, the Eagles could also focus on the run game and chewing up clock, giving Washington fewer possessions to score. I think we're getting a nice price on the Under here.