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Sun, Jan 049:25 pm UTCAllegiant Stadium
Kansas City
Chiefs
KC
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-11
ATS6-11
O/U4-13-0
FINAL SCORE
12
-
14
Las Vegas
Raiders
LV
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-14
ATS7-10
O/U8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
6-11
Win /Loss
2-14
6-11
Spread
7-10
4-13-0
Over / Under
8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
KC @ LV
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MONEYLINE
KC @ LV
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OVER / UNDER
KC @ LV
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54%
PUBLIC
46%
MONEY
83%
PUBLIC
17%
MONEY
Over67%
PUBLIC
Under33%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadLas Vegas +6 -116
WIN
Unit1.0
+838
42-30-1 in Last 73 NFL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Raiders have lost 10 straight and can clinch the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft with a loss or tie. But Kansas City should not be laying this many points, not with third-stringer Chris Oladokun at quarterback. Kenny Pickets and Aidan O'Connell will both play for Las Vegas. They could even be an upgrade over Geno Smith (17 INTs).

Pick Made: Jan 02, 3:57 pm UTC on BetRivers
SpreadLas Vegas +6 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+425
20-14 in Last 34 NFL Picks
+92
10-8 in Last 18 NFL ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Raiders have packed it in with Brock Bowers and Maxx Crosby on the IR, but this is too many points for the Chiefs to lay on the road with Chris Oladokun at quarterback. The Chiefs haven't had more than 10 first downs, 82 net passing yards or a drive longer than 45 yards in either of the last two games, and that type of attack just can't be laying this many points in a road game. The Raiders plan to use both backup QBs next week, and both have proven better than Oladokun, while Ashton Jeanty is the best skill position player left in the game. I'm also going to sprinkle on the money line here.

Pick Made: Jan 01, 8:22 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, Jan 04, 2026
Avatar
DT
Mike Pennel
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
G
Trey Smith
AnkleInactive
Avatar
LB
Tyreke Smith
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
RB
Isiah Pacheco
RestInactive
Avatar
DE
George Karlaftis
RestInactive
Avatar
WR
Xavier Worthy
IllnessInactive
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04, 2026
Avatar
QB
Geno Smith
AnkleInactive
Avatar
S
Terrell Edmunds
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
RB
Raheem Mostert
KneeInactive
Avatar
DT
Adam Butler
BicepsInactive
Avatar
G
Dylan Parham
IllnessInactive
Avatar
SAF
Isaiah Pola-Mao
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Brodric Martin
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
DB
Chigozie Anusiem
Coach's DecisionInactive
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