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    Sun, Nov 196:00 pm UTCCleveland Browns Stadium
    46 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Pittsburgh
    Steelers
    PIT
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L10-7
    ATS10-7
    O/U6-11-0
    FINAL SCORE
    10
    -
    13
    Cleveland
    Browns
    CLE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS10-6
    O/U10-6-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    10-7
    Win /Loss
    11-6
    10-7
    Spread
    10-6
    6-11-0
    Over / Under
    10-6-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    DT
    Avatar
    DE
    Avatar
    DB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OG
    Avatar
    DE
    Avatar
    OT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    PIT @ CLE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    PIT @ CLE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    PIT @ CLE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    67%
    PUBLIC
    33%
    MONEY
    38%
    PUBLIC
    62%
    MONEY
    Over43%
    PUBLIC
    Under57%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadPittsburgh +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2094
    82-55-8 in Last 145 NFL ATS Picks
    +816
    28-18-1 in Last 47 PIT ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The Steelers are getting outgained every week, and the Browns defense might be the league's best when fully healthy – particularly at home. And yet, with Dorian Thompson-Robinson under center against a Mike Tomlin-led defense, the Steelers need to be backed in this spot. Pittsburgh has won five straight games on the road, and if this game is close late – it should be – Kenny Pickett has proven he can lead a comeback, which DTR simply has not. We’re getting nearly a field goal in this situation, and I like the way Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris have been sharing the rock. Look for DTR to be under immense pressure and the Steelers to win straight up (moneyline sprinkle suggested).

    Pick Made: Nov 19, 5:08 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerDorian Thompson-Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer +350
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Josh's Analysis:

    Thompson-Robinson rushed for 28 TDs in his college career at UCLA, including 12 his senior season. Designed QB runs are a clear part of Cleveland's offense, as evidenced by Deshaun Watson's 26 carries for 142 yards and a score. The rookie QB's rushing ability is bound to be in play when Cleveland approaches the goal line.

    Pick Made: Nov 19, 4:48 pm UTC
    Point SpreadPittsburgh +2 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Jaime's Analysis:

    I truly do not believe in the Steelers down the stretch, but I can not bet against this defense going up against DTR who threw 3 interceptions in his only start this season. The Browns may not score 10 points against the Steelers, give me Pittsburgh +2.

    Pick Made: Nov 19, 4:23 pm UTC
    Money LineCleveland -130
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1209.5
    67-51-5 in Last 123 NFL Picks
    +872
    14-5 in Last 19 NFL ML Picks
    +500
    4-0 in Last 4 CLE ML Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The spread on this game dropped 3 points amid the news of Deshaun Watson's season-ending injury for the Browns. Although rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson played poorly in his first start, he should be improved this time around and his weaknesses masked by a run-heavy attack. Cleveland let a win in Pittsburgh slip away in their first meeting and can't afford to do so again.

    Pick Made: Nov 19, 4:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Tackles Plus AssistsElandon Roberts Over 8.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -152
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Cole Holcomb and Kwon Alexander have suffered season-ending injuries, which means linebacker Elandon Roberts will be wearing the green dot and playing nearly 100 percent of the snaps Sunday in Cleveland. Roberts is a solid run-stopper and the Browns likely will go run-heavy under rookie quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson. I love Roberts to make at least nine combined tackles.

    Pick Made: Nov 19, 5:35 am UTC
    Point SpreadPittsburgh +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +739
    47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
    +390
    5-1 in Last 6 PIT ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Tough week for QBs in the AFC North, with Joe Burrow going out for the Bengals a few days after it was announced that Deshaun Watson 9shoulder) was done for the season in Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski apparently turns back to UCLA rookie DTR, despite his struggles in his previous start vs. the Ravens, instead of PJ Walker. But the Steelers seem to have a knack of squeezing out these close decisions, and any getting points considering the Cleveland QB situation looks a worthwhile risk. Play Steelers

    Pick Made: Nov 19, 5:33 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total CarriesJerome Ford Over 13.5 Total Carries -143
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This is the central cog in the Browns attack with a rookie QB taking over. He was already the fulcrum and tore through a soft Steelers run D in the first meeting and ran behind the back-up RT tackle to a 100-plus yard outing Sunday against the Ravens. I expect some Wildcat looks for Ford and he has jumped ahead of Hunt on the depth chart and should get fed for 20 carries or more in what is shaping up to be a close and low-scoring football game. I see him rushing 17 times or more and going over 100 yards on the ground. Will tear off a few explosive runs along the way.

    Pick Made: Nov 18, 4:23 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsJaylen Warren Over 58.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    We have been playing Warren receiving props all season with great success and now that he has displaced Najee Harris is the lead runner, we're going into the scrimmage market. He'll see at least 4-5 targets and has the wiggle and burst to pick up chunk yards (or Lamar Jackson has a higher missed tackle %). Browns defense's weakness is on the ground and the Steelers long struggling run game now averaging 186 yards in the last two games. Browns worn out after heavily physical game at Baltimore on Sunday. He's thriving knowing he'll keep getting fed and doesn't have to hit a HR every carry.

    Pick Made: Nov 16, 4:01 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJerome Ford Over 48.5 Total Rushing Yards -114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    I loved Ford in this spot even if Deshaun Watson was still playing. Now with Dorian Thompson-Robinson making his second start, he will get even more action against a bad Steelers run defense. No way they want DTR dropping back much vs. TJ Watt and Co and backup starting tackles. Ford poked big holes in Ravens vaunted D on Sunday, and he broke off 16 runs for 106 yards in the first meeting with PIT. I see a heavy workload and he will pop a few long runs. Run game guru Bill Callahan will scheme it up for Browns with back-up linemen again.

    Pick Made: Nov 16, 3:55 am UTC
    Money LinePittsburgh +108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2338.5
    59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    I liked PIT on the ML even if Watson was playing. PJ Walker has no shot against this defense. It will be a race to 40 rushes and I could see a defensive score from Pittsburgh. Mike Tomlin owns the Browns the Steelers have 5 straight as a dog, and they beat Browns in the first meeting. Steelers have found a run game with Jaylen Warren leading the way. Browns have worst QB production in NFL and are without their top 2-3 tackles against TJ Watt. Steelers on a 4-0 run vs the AFC North. Browns haven’t won three in a row since start of '21 season. Browns QBs have been sacked 13 times in their last two games vs Steelers.

    Pick Made: Nov 15, 6:02 pm UTC
    Point SpreadPittsburgh +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +742.5
    50-27-2 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
    +165
    6-4 in Last 10 CLE ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    I'm sure you know by now about Deshaun Watson. I certainly assumed that PJ Walker would start this game -- think everyone did -- but now reports are it will be back to rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson, so now I'm on Pittsburgh even though Kenny Pickett might as well be Kenny Powers. ("So as I was saying, the amount of money I am gonna be making would hurt your parents feelings.") Mike Tomlin owns the Browns and he owns rookie quarterbacks. Strange decision.

    Pick Made: Nov 15, 4:32 pm UTC
    Point SpreadPittsburgh +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +917
    83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
    +362
    26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
    +667
    21-13-4 in Last 38 CLE ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Just as the Browns were maneuvering toward a potentially deep playoff run, down goes QB Deshaun Watson for the season. The drop-off to PJ Walker is significant, as indicated by his five interceptions against one TD throw this year. Pittsburgh is responsible for the season's strangest statistical anomaly -- six straight-up wins despite never having outgunned an opponent. The formula is inexplicable but could work again as Cleveland finds points hard to come by with a backup behind center.

    Pick Made: Nov 15, 3:47 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Pittsburgh Steelers
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Dean Lowry
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Trenton Thompson
    NeckQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Cole Holcomb
    KneeQuestionable
    Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
    Avatar
    DT
    Cameron Heyward
    GroinQuestionable
    Cleveland Browns
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Joel Bitonio
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    QB
    Deshaun Watson
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Pierre Strong Jr.
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    QB
    Dorian Thompson-Robinson
    HipQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Dawand Jones
    Knee - MCLQuestionable
    Monday, Apr 15, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Quinton Jefferson
    GroinQuestionable
    Sunday, Mar 03, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Nyheim Hines
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Jack Conklin
    Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Nick Chubb
    Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable