Anyone who follows these picks knows there’s nothing better than fading the Patriots and Mac Jones, and we get a great chance to do just that here with the Cowboys. This line is more than a point below opening with Dallas entering off a disastrous loss and New England entering off a dominant win. This is a revenge game for Ezekiel Elliott, but it’s not like he’s been a lights-out rusher this year. Dallas is healthy up front and should cover this margin in the second half. Take this at -6 as well as both lines are available right now.

Pollard hasn't scored the past two games despite a huge workload so he's overdue. And I'm sure Dallas will want to get him a TD with Zeke Elliott on the other side of the field. Pollard's offensive line is healthier this week as well.

Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 2.9 yards per carry and last week Ezekiel Elliott got nearly as many carries (16) as Stevenson (19). The Cowboys' run defense was embarrassed last week and should bounce back at home, bottling up Stevenson.

A convincing win over the Jets by the Patriots has caused this line to drop from the lookahead of Cowboys -7.5. But the Pats offense relied on a 58-yard TD to the third-string tight end for its only trip to the end zone, and I don't believe it can have success moving the ball against an elite defense. The Cowboys should bounce back after losing Trevon Diggs midweek and then not taking the Cardinals seriously until it was too late. The Cowboys offense is trending toward having Zack Martin and Tyler Biadasz, strengthening its outlook against a quality defense. I'd put this line on the other side of seven and see if the Patriots offense has any answers.

Will update analysis today.

The Cowboys have had a comfy start to the season from a schedule standpoint with the Giants, Jets and Cardinals. They still managed to drop one of those games to the Cardinals by double digits. In that game, James Conner ran for 7 YPC and Joshua Dobbs was very efficient completing 17 of his 21 passes. That seems to be a pretty good formula for the Patriots, who by the way, have had a much tougher start to the season with The Eagles, Dolphins and Jets. This is way too many points.

Pride cometh before the fall. Dallas rode into Arizona last weekend a bit high on their horse and forgot to take care of the little things, which ended up costing them the game. Fortunately for them the Patriots offense is still one that lacks explosiveness, which should allow the Cowboys defense to rebound and get back to being a dominant force.