The Raiders might have won this game on Saturday. They activated TE Darren Waller and WR Hunter Renfrow from injured reserve, which puts them on the field together for the first time in 10 games. Meanwhile, the Patriots declared RB Damien Harris out, while RB Rhamondre Stevenson was labeled iffy. Already, WR DeVante Parker was a scratch. Las Vegas, a massive underachiever, might lack the motivation of New England. The host's playoff chances hang by a thread. But the Raiders will send out a much superior offense against a visitor playing for the second straight time out west.

The Patriots are coming off a decisive road victory in primetime, while the Raiders just had an embarrassing meltdown in primetime. Yet this line has moved toward Vegas in recent days. Why? For starters, the Raiders have a clear rest advantage, and they dominated the first half against the Rams before taking their foot off the gas. The Patriots' win wasn't as dominant as the score suggests, and they have just one win against a QB1 all year if you discount Kyler Murray playing just three plays. New England's offense is also dealing with a number of injuries, and the Raiders defense has been much improved in recent weeks. I agree with the line move here and think the Raiders should be favored by 2.5 points.

I'm not a big believer in betting this early, but the Patriots will be on a short week and only bad things can happen to them tonight in Arizona (would Mac Jones getting hurt actually be a bad thing, though?) so I'll just take the Raiders, who are on extra rest, now at a nice pick'em price as Padawan Josh McDaniels faces Jedi master Bill Belichick.