Expert Picks
NFL | Houston 23 @ Dallas 27 | 12/11 | 6:00 PM UTC
Houston +18
WIN
ANALYSIS: With a spread of this magnitude, don't blink and just go with the underdog. Forget Dallas' league-best points differential. Ignore that the Texans have a single straight-up win. If there is anything to hang one's hat on, Davis Mills returns as QB after a two-week absence. Of his 10 starts, Houston has not lost by more than this spread, though one defeat equaled it. The Cowboys have been explosively lately, but that isn't their M.O. historically under QB Dak Prescott.
Season Splits
2-13, 7-8 ATS
13-5, 11-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
36%
4-7-1
8-4
67%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
40%
2-3-1
5-2
71%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
4-7-1
5-2
71%
When Spread was +15.5 to +18.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -18.5 to -15.5
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
40%
2-3-1
4-1
80%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
25%
1-3
4-1
80%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
75%
3-1-1
3-0
100%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
38%
3-5-1
7-2
78%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
0%
0-0
0-0
0%