The weekend’s second-highest total belongs in the 40s. The Cardinals’ RB room has been thinned out, leaving little former seventh-round draft pick Eric Benjamin as the main man. Even with a full cast at the position, Arizona has started slowly on offense, having failed to score in the first quarter all season. The 10-1 against-the-spread road streak can be traced to defense. Last week, the Cardinals held the Eagles to their lowest yardage and point totals of the year. And their past three games have not topped 42. Seattle has flexed offensive muscle, but can recycled QB Geno Smith continue his hot stretch?

The Seahawks give up an NFL-worst 6.6 yards per play, so this is a nice breakout spot for the Cardinals' offense. Seattle gives up an NFL-high 170.2 rushing yards per game and an NFL-high 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Without Jamal Adams, this defense is bereft of playmakers. Arizona is an incredible 10-1 SU and ATS since the start of last season, including 2-0 SU and ATS this year. Over their last four games, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 19.8 points. Lay the small number.

Only the Bills offense has a higher yards per play figure than the Seahawks, who rank first in rushing and third in passing in the category. Their defense ranks 32nd in yards per play, however. With a team like that, we should be look to play the Over unless we have good reason not to, and injuries to Rashaad Penny and James Conner are not that. In fact, both teams could look to pass more, which would typically lead to more points. Seahawks games would be 4-1 to the Over this year if not for Denver's goal line fumbles, and while the last three Cardinals games went under, those featured good defenses, bad offenses or both. This number has dipped under 51, giving us a win on the Over in a 27-24 type of game.

The Cardinals went blow-for-blow with the undefeated Eagles and gave the game away at the end with poor decision-making leading to a missed field goal. But that was an awful spot for Philly to begin with, and I'm still not sure the Cardinals are an above-average team. I'm not sure they're even better than the Seahawks, whose offense I guess was supposed to regress against the Saints defense and instead averaged 8.1 yards per play while scoring 32 points. Seattle's defense remains a problem, but they have home-field advantage, the better coaching staff and the better quarterback here, so why wouldn't they be favored?