Justin Herbert has just been ruled out so I'm guessing this will tick down a bit so let's grab it now. Update: I need to double source going forward but to be fair I am on many medications! Herbert will apparently give it a go. I don't pretend to know how a QB with broken rib cartilage will fare other than from North Dallas Forty. I still don't mind the Under.

There's too much implied value on the Chargers to pass up this reduced price. Of course, speculation that QB Justin Herbert won't play because of his rib injury is what caused the tidal wave of money to flow on the Jaguars. But if Herbert plays and is reasonably effective, we're scalping about 4.5 points of value. If he doesn't, there's still a decent chance to get there behind a capable backup who has all sorts of weapons such as Austin Ekeler to help compensate for the absence of Herbert.

The Chargers had six key players listed as limited or out of practice on Thursday, including elite starting center Corey Linsley. If he does play, he won't be 100% healthy. The Chargers could also be rusty from not having those players practice much this week. It's going to be hot (around 90). Despite the roof, the open sides of the stadium still make it vulnerable to extreme heat. I think the Jaguars will handle the hot weather better than the Chargers. LA doesn't have much of a home-field edge as many of its fans are in San Diego. Jacksonville hasn't won on the road in its past 17 games, but the Jags should be motivated. I think they keep this one close!